中国葡萄酒产业链韧性:水平测度、差异分解与演变趋势OA

China's wine industry,in the process of advancing the rural revitalization strategy,has become an important supporting force for the development of rural characteristic industries by constructing a comprehensive industrial cluster covering multiple links.Facing multiple challenges such as climate change,market shrinkage,and international competition,it is urgent to enhance the resilience of the industrial chain to achieve sustainable development.In this paper,an evaluation index system was constructed based on social-ecological system resilience theory,and the resilience of China's wine industry chain from 2018 to 2024 was estimated using entropy method and Theil index.The findings indicated that resilience of industrial chain underwent cyclical changes,adjusting after a peak to reach a new equilibrium,which had a certain degree of self-adaptability but still belonged to a long-term dynamic process.Variations in resilience among enterprises were found to stem primarily from micro-governance rather than structural deficiencies.Furthermore,the imbalance was observed across risk mitigation,adaptation-recovery,and transformative development dimensions,suggesting that the resilience of industrial chain remained uncoordinated development stage.The research revealed the crucial role of micro-governance and multi-dimensional coordination in enhancing the resilience of the wine industry chain,providing references for strengthening risk management in the wine industry chain and promoting the high-quality development of rural characteristic industries.