基于MGWR的林业企业时空差异及影响因素研究

Research on Spatial Differentiation Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Forestry Enterprises Based on MGWR

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中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]林业企业作为林业产业结构的具体落脚点,其空间演化特征规律和影响因素分析有助于科学合理地安排林业产业布局,促进林业产业的良好发展,进而为生态文明建设和经济社会发展提供坚实的基础。[方法]基于中国林业企业数据,采用平均最近邻、局部莫兰指数、热点分析等地理信息系统(GIS)空间分析方法,分析了中国林业企业的空间演化特征;运用普通最小二乘法(OLS)模型、地理加权回归(GWR)模型、多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)模型,探讨了 367 个地市林业企业分布数量影响因素的空间异质性,揭示了不同因素的影响作用及空间分异特征。[结果](1)中国林业企业空间格局具有明显的集聚特征且集聚程度不断增强。(2)中国林业企业数量分布分化较为显著,不显著区呈扩张趋势,东北、西南热点集聚区分布范围大幅缩小,东南热点集聚区始终保持较大规模的块状分布格局。(3)从林业企业分布数量的影响因素看,常住人口数量、绿地面积等人力资源和市场容量优势对于林业企业分布数量的影响强度最大,但专利授权数、园地面积、林地面积等科技支撑和产业资源优势也具有正向作用,公路密度和货物进出口总额与林业企业数量主要呈负相关性,反映了公路交通在林业企业的选址中不具有优势地位,与林业第一、第二产业比重大的特点契合,林业企业更多地受到资源分布和市场需求的影响,而不像其他产业那样受到公路交通的制约。[结论]中国林业企业分布的影响因素存在显著空间分异,政府及相关部门在制定产业政策时要因地制宜采取针对性措施,促进林业产业的健康协调发展。首先,应提高中国林业产业资源配置效率,推动规模经济发展,确保林业资源的合理分配和高效利用。其次,促进产业结构调整,根据区域资源禀赋和市场需求,调整林业产业结构,推动产业升级,充分发挥特色产业优势,推动产业深度融合,扩大优质产品的有效供给。最后,要加强政府引导和科技投入,促进产业向高质量、可持续方向转型,实现经济效益与生态效益的双赢。

[Objective]As the specific landing point of forestry industry structure, the analysis of the spatial evolution characteristic law and influencing factors of forestry enterprises can help to scientifically and reasonably arrange the layout of forestry industry, promote the good development of forestry industry, and then provide a solid foundation for the construction of ecological civilization and economic and social development.[Method]Based on the data of China's forestry enterprises, the spatial evolution characteristics of China's forestry enterprises were analyzed by using geographic information system (GIS) spatial analysis methods such as average nearest neighbor, local Moran index, and hotspot analysis; ordinary least squares (OLS) model, geographically weighted regression (GWR) model, and multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model were used to explore the distribution of forestry enterprises in 367 cities and regions. The spatial heterogeneity of the factors influencing the number of forestry enterprises in 367 cities and municipalities was explored, and the influencing effects of different factors and the characteristics of spatial differentiation were revealed.[Result](1) The spatial pattern of Chinese forestry enterprises is characterized by obvious agglomeration and the degree of agglomeration is increasing. (2) The distribution of the number of forestry enterprises in China is significantly differentiated, with insignificant areas showing an expansion trend, hotspot agglomerations in the northeast and southwest of the country greatly reducing their distribution range, and hotspot agglomerations in the southeast of the country always maintaining a large-scale block distribution pattern. (3) From the influencing factors of the distribution number of forestry enterprises, the strength of human resources and market capacity advantages such as the number of resident population and green land area has the greatest influence on the distribution number of forestry enterprises, but the advantages of scientific and technological support and industrial resources such as the number of patents authorized, garden area and forest area also have a positive effect, and the density of highways and the total amount of imports and exports of goods and the number of forestry enterprises are mainly in a negative correlation, reflecting the fact that highway traffic It does not have an advantageous position in the location of forestry enterprises, which fits with the characteristics of the large proportion of primary and secondary industries in forestry, and forestry enterprises are more affected by the distribution of resources and market demand than by the constraints of highway transportation like other industries.[Conclusion]There is significant spatial differentiation in the influencing factors of the distribution of forestry enterprises in China, and the government and relevant departments should take targeted measures according to local conditions when formulating industrial policies to promote the healthy and coordinated development of the forestry industry. Firstly, the resource allocation efficiency of China's forestry industry should be improved to promote the development of economies of scale and ensure the rational distribution and efficient utilization of forestry resources. Secondly, it should promote industrial restructuring, adjust the structure of the forestry industry according to regional resource endowment and market demand, promote industrial upgrading, give full play to the advantages of the specialty industries, promote the in-depth integration of the industry, and expand the effective supply of highquality products. Finally, government guidance and scientific and technological investment should be strengthened to promote the transformation of the industry in the direction of high quality and sustainability, and to realize the win-win situationof economic and ecological benefits.

马强;倪红红;李卫忠;苏祥祥;李军;祝雪晴;刘吉凯;李新伟;

安徽科技学院资源与环境学院,安徽 滁州 239000;安徽科技学院科研处,安徽 滁州 239000##西北农林科技大学林学院,陕西杨凌 7121003;西北农林科技大学林学院,陕西杨凌 7121003;安徽科技学院资源与环境学院,安徽 滁州 239000;安徽科技学院资源与环境学院,安徽 滁州 239000;安徽科技学院资源与环境学院,安徽 滁州 239000;安徽科技学院资源与环境学院,安徽 滁州 239000##西北农林科技大学林学院,陕西杨凌 7121003;安徽科技学院资源与环境学院,安徽 滁州 239000##安徽科技学院科研处,安徽 滁州 239000##安徽省作物智慧种植与加工技术工程研究中心,安徽 滁州 239000;

第九届中国林业学术大会

F326.25

中国 林业企业 空间分析 MGWR模型 影响因素

China forestry enterprises spatial analysis MGWR model influencing factors

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