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新时期长江水文现代化建设思路与实施路径OA

Approaches and implementation pathways for the hydrological modernization of the Yangtze River in the New Era

中文摘要英文摘要

当前,长江水文现代化建设正处于战略机遇和风险挑战并存的关键阶段.本文立足新形势新要求,系统剖析了长江水文在站网布局、智能感知、预报预警及多目标服务等方面存在的短板弱项.在此基础上提出构建适应时代发展的长江水文现代化建设框架和工作思路,消除水文监测预报覆盖盲点、建设水文技术创新亮点、抓实治江支撑能力提升重点.围绕规划引领、站网补强、感知提升、平台赋能、创新驱动5方面的实施路径,强化监测网络补齐站网与应急监测短板,提高监测感知能力夯实全要素数据底板,打造业务赋能平台,提升预报、预警、预演、预案"四预"支撑水平,持续发展水文新质生产力.本研究可为新时期加快大江大河水文现代化建设、发展水文新质生产力提供借鉴.

Currently,the hydrological modernization of the Yangtze River is at a critical stage in which strategic opportunities and risk challenges coexist.In light of the new situation and new requirements,this paper systematically analyzed the shortcomings and weaknesses of Yangtze River hydrology in terms of station network layout,intelligent sensing,forecasting and early warning,and multi-objective services.On this basis,it pointed out the need to build a framework for Yangtze River hydrological modernization that adapts to the development of the times,to eliminate blind spots in hydrological monitoring and forecasting coverage,build highlights in hydrological technological innovation,and focus on key priorities for enhancing support capacity for river governance.Centering on five implementation paths—planning guidance,station network reinforcement,sensing enhancement,platform empowerment,and innovation-driven development—it strengthened the monitoring network to fill shortcomings in station networks and emergency monitoring,improved monitoring and sensing capabilities to consolidate the all-element data foundation,built a business empowerment platform to enhance the support level of the"four pre"capabilities(forecasting,early warning,rehearsal,and contingency plans),and continuously developed new quality productive forces in hydrology.This study can provide a reference for accelerating the hydrological modernization of major rivers and developing new quality productive forces in hydrology in the new era.

官学文;熊莹

水利部长江水利委员会水文局,430010,武汉水利部长江水利委员会水文局,430010,武汉

建筑与水利

长江流域水文现代化三道防线预报、预警、预演、预案"四预"能力数字孪生水文新质生产力

Yangtze River basinhydrological modernizationthree lines of defense"four pre"capabilities:forecasting,early warning,rehearsal,and contingency plansdigital twinnew quality productive forces in hydrology

《中国水利》 2026 (18)

22-28,7

10.3969/j.issn.1000-1123.2026.18.003

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