黄河流域农业科技创新与绿色发展的耦合协调及时空演化OA
Coupling coordination and spatiotemporal evolution of agricultural technological innovation and agricultural green development in the Yellow River Basin
为给黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展提供更具针对性的科学依据和理论支撑,基于农业科技创新与农业绿色发展两系统的内涵与耦合机理,构建了两系统综合评价指标体系,对 2013-2024 年黄河流域九省(区)两系统发展水平、耦合协调关系、差异来源及空间动态演化进行系统性分析.研究结果表明:1)各省(区)的农业科技创新和农业绿色发展的综合指数均呈现逐年上升的趋势,其中农业科技创新水平提高较快,呈现加速特征,农业绿色发展水平总体上较为稳定,个别阶段存在小幅波动;2)两系统关联性强且趋于稳定,耦合协调发展质量不断提升,协调发展水平呈现下游地区>中游地区>上游地区的梯度格局;3)各省(区)耦合协调度差异总体不高,呈现"先收敛后分化"的特征,且差异主要来源于组内差异;4)各省(区)耦合协调发展水平的空间动态演化具有"高黏性,低跃迁"的特征,且受到邻近省(区)协调水平的影响.
To provide more targeted scientific evidence and theoretical support for ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,this study constructed two comprehensive evaluation systems based on the connotations and coupling mechanisms of agri-cultural technological innovation and agricultural green development.Using data from the nine provinces(autonomous regions)in the Yellow River Basin from 2013 to 2024,the development levels of the two systems,their coupling coordination relationship,sources of disparities,and spatial dynamic evolution were systematically analyzed.The results show that:a)The composite indices of agricultural technological in-novation and agricultural green development in all provinces(autonomous regions)exhibit an overall upward trend.Agricultural technological innovation increases more rapidly and shows an accelerating pattern,whereas agricultural green development remains relatively stable overall,with slight fluctuations during certain periods.b)The two systems are strongly interconnected and tend to remain stable,while the quality of coupling-coordinated development continues to improve,displaying a clear spatial gradient of downstream regions>midstream regions>up-stream regions.c)Disparities in the coupling coordination degree among provinces(autonomous regions)are generally limited and exhibit a pattern of"initial convergence followed by divergence",with the overall disparities mainly attributable to within-group differentiation.d)The spatial dynamic evolution of coupling-coordinated development across provinces(autonomous regions)is characterized by"high persistence and low mobility"and is influenced by the coordination levels of neighboring provinces(autonomous regions).
陈奇;李昂;卢阳;王玲玲
青岛农业大学 经济管理学院(合作社学院),山东 青岛 266109青岛农业大学 经济管理学院(合作社学院),山东 青岛 266109北京师范大学 地理科学学部,北京 100875青岛农业大学 经济管理学院(合作社学院),山东 青岛 266109
管理科学
农业科技创新农业绿色发展耦合协调泰尔指数时空演化黄河流域
agricultural technological innovationagricultural green developmentcoupling coordinationTheil indexspatiotemporal evolutionYellow River Basin
《人民黄河》 2026 (10)
54-61,8
山东省重点研发计划(软科学)项目(2023RKY02003)
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