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水电站参与电力市场交易的月度结算收益优化研究OA

Optimization of monthly settlement revenue for hydropower plants participating in electricity markets

中文摘要英文摘要

为了在充分发挥电力市场调节机制的条件下促进水电资源的优化配置和利用,以重点考虑中长期偏差收益回收费用影响的水电站月度结算收益最大为目标,引入条件风险价值(CVaR)并采用改进黄金分割法寻求最佳置信水平,对实时市场电价影响下的月度结算收益损失风险进行量化;在联合优化月内合约电量与实时市场申报电量的基础上,建立水电站参与电力市场交易的月度结算收益优化模型.算例分析表明:在相同中长期合约存量条件下,相较于以中长期偏差收益回收费用最小为目标的传统优化策略,水电站月度结算收益提升了14.4%,中长期偏差收益回收费用均值降低了44.98%,极端场景下的月度结算收益最低值提升了226.41 万元,验证了模型的可行性和优越性.研究成果可为水电站参与电力市场交易提供一定的参考.

To faciliate the optimal allocation and utilization of hydropower resources by giving full play to the regulatory mecha-nism of electricity markets,this study takes the maximization of monthly settlement revenue of hydropower plants as the objective,and explicitly accounts for revenue recovery charges for medium-and long-term(MLT)contract deviations.First,conditional value-at-risk(CVaR)is adopted to quantify the loss risk of monthly settlement revenue under the impact of real-time market electricity prices,and an improved golden-section method is employed to determine the optimal confidence level.Second,a monthly settlement revenue optimization model for hydropower plants participating in electricity market trading is developed on the basis of jointly optimizing intra-month contract electricity and real-time market bid electricity.Numerical results show that,giv-en the same stock of MLT contracts,compared with the conventional optimization strategy that minimizes revenue recovery charges for MLT contract deviations,the proposed strategy increases monthly settlement revenue by14.4%,reduces the mean revenue re-covery charge by 44.98%,and raises the minimum monthly settlement revenue under extreme scenarios by CNY 2.264 1 million.These results verify the feasibility and superiority of the proposed model and provide references for hydropower plants participating in electricity market trading.

张验科;许晋绅;卢垚键;王远坤

华北电力大学 水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206华北电力大学 水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206华北电力大学 水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206华北电力大学 水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206

建筑与水利

水电站参与电力市场月度结算收益中长期偏差收益回收费用条件风险价值

hydropower plant participation in electricity marketsmonthly settlement revenuerevenue recovery charges for medium-and long-term contract deviationsconditional value-at-risk(CVaR)

《人民长江》 2026 (9)

60-69,10

国家自然科学基金项目(52579010,52279064)湖北省智慧水电技术创新中心开放研究基金项目(1524020004)

10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2026.09.007

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