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融合数字孪生的长江防洪调度智能演练技术与应用OA

Technology and application of intelligent drill for Changjiang River flood control dispatch integrating digital twin

中文摘要英文摘要

为完善长江流域防洪"四预"体系,提升极端洪水事件应对的实战能力,通过搭建多源异构信息资源池、CJH 模型应用市场,研发水工程防洪调度知识平台,研究历史暴雨移植、预报调度一体化模拟、实时"正逆向"互馈智能预演技术,构建流域精细化数字场景,形成了融合数字孪生的长江防洪调度智能演练体系.以"1981·7+"洪水为典型案例系统介绍了防洪调度演练流程.结果表明:当前历史暴雨移植耗时可缩短至分钟级,全流域500 余节点10 d 预见期洪水模拟实现秒级运算,调度方案智能推荐达分钟级;"1981·7+"洪水调度演练中,推荐方案可削减寸滩站洪峰流量约6 000 m3/s,降低三峡水库调洪高水位1.00 m,缩短三峡水库库区水位超移民线河长12.4 km.融合数字孪生的长江防洪调度智能演练体系显著提升了流域防洪调度演练的时效性、精准性,标准化演练流程和多层次调度策略与方案具备良好的实战性,可为流域极端洪水防御提供高效可行的技术支撑.

To improve the"four-pre"(forecast,prediction,pre-warning,and pre-plan)flood control system in the Changjiang River Basin and strengthen operational capabilities for extreme flood events,this study develops an intelligent drill flood regulation system empowered by digital twin technologies.This system involves constructing a multi-source heterogeneous information resource repository and a CJH model application marketplace,developing a knowledge platform for flood regulation of hydraulic project,and investigate techniques including historical rainstorm transposition,integrated forecasting-regulation simula-tion,and real-time interactive forward-reverse intelligent pre-running modeling,and ultimately building a refined digital sce-nario for the entire basin.Using the"1981·7+"extreme flood as a typical case,the study systematically demonstrates the flood regulation drill workflow.Results show that historical rainstorm transposition can be completed within minutes,basin-wide flood simulation covering over 500 nodes with a 10-day forecast horizon achieves second-scale computation,and intelligent scheme recommendation reaches minute-level efficiency.In the"1981·7+"drill,the recommended scheme reduces the peak dis-charge at Cuntan Station by approximately 6 000 m3/s,lowers the maximum regulated water level of the Three Gorges Reservoir by 1.0 m,and shortens the river length of exceeding resettlement-line by 12.4 km.These findings confirm that the digital-twin-based intelligent drill system significantly improves the timeliness and accuracy of basin-scale flood regulation exercises.Its standardized procedures and multi-tiered regulation strategies exhibit strong practical applicability,providing efficient and feasi-ble technical support for extreme flood defense in the Changjiang River Basin.

陈瑜彬;杨雁飞;张俊;张潇;秦昊;李帅

长江水利委员会 水文局,湖北 武汉 430010||流域水模拟与预报调度智能技术创新中心,湖北 武汉 430010长江水利委员会 水文局,湖北 武汉 430010||流域水模拟与预报调度智能技术创新中心,湖北 武汉 430010长江水利委员会 水文局,湖北 武汉 430010||长江水利委员会水旱灾害防御创新团队,湖北 武汉 430010长江水利委员会 水文局,湖北 武汉 430010||长江水利委员会水旱灾害防御创新团队,湖北 武汉 430010长江水利委员会 水文局,湖北 武汉 430010||流域水模拟与预报调度智能技术创新中心,湖北 武汉 430010中国长江三峡集团有限公司流域枢纽运行管理中心,湖北 宜昌 443133

建筑与水利

长江流域防洪调度智慧水利数字孪生智能演练CJH模型

Changjiang River Basinflood regulationsmart water conservancydigital twinintelligent drillCJH Model

《人民长江》 2026 (9)

1-12,12

国家自然科学基金专项项目(52441901)国家自然科学基金长江水科学研究联合基金项目(U2340213)中国长江三峡集团有限公司资助项目(0704205)

10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2026.09.001

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