不同环流背景下华北夏季午后降水特征及陆气耦合效应OA
Characteristics of summer afternoon precipitation and land-atmosphere coupling effects in North China under different circulation regimes
基于 1981-2020 年 ERA5(ECMWF-Reanalysis-v5)再分析资料,利用 K-Means聚类算法对华北地区夏季低层环流形势进行分型,将其划分为西南风主导型(40.80%)、东风主导型(35.58%)和西北风主导型(23.62%)3 类,系统探究了不同环流背景下华北夏季降水的分布特征及陆气耦合效应.结果表明:华北夏季午后降水多发于上午土壤湿度偏低、感热通量偏高、蒸发比偏弱的陆面热力条件下,陆面前期状态对午后对流降水触发具有显著的调控作用.其中,西南风主导型环流对应的水汽输送与垂直上升运动条件最优,降水强度和发生频次显著高于其余两类环流型.陆气耦合诊断显示,区域土壤湿度与蒸发比呈显著的正相关关系,蒸发比与边界层高度呈显著的负相关关系;偏干地表可通过增强感热通量加热大气、发展对流边界层,加剧低层大气热力不稳定,有效提升对流触发概率.抬升凝结高度亏损诊断证实,偏干陆面背景下发展的边界层更容易突破抬升凝结高度,进而触发午后对流降水,且该陆面强迫效应在西南风主导型环流背景下最为突出.
North China,located at the northern margin of the East Asian monsoon and within a transitional zone between semi-humid and semi-arid climates,is characterized by complex underlying surface conditions and is widely recognized as a hotspot of land-atmosphere coupling.Summer precipitation is concentrated in this region and is frequently associated with afternoon convection,yet its formation is modulated by multiscale interactions between large-scale atmospheric circulation and local land surface processes.Although land-atmosphere coupling is recognized as an important factor influencing regional precipitation,how this coupling varies under different cir-culation regimes remains insufficiently understood.This study objectively classifies summer the dominant summer circulation regimes over North China and investigates their influences on summer afternoon precipitation and land-atmosphere coupling. Using ERA5 reanalysis data from 1981 to 2020,the K-Means clustering method is employed to objectively classify the summer 850 hPa wind fields over North China into three dominant circulation regimes.The analysis focuses on precipitation,vertical motion,moisture conditions,and key land surface variables,including soil mois-ture,sensible and latent heat fluxes,evaporation fraction,boundary layer height,and lifting condensation level def-icit.Conditional probability differences are calculated to quantify the effects of morning soil moisture,sensible heat flux,and evaporation fraction on the occurrence of afternoon precipitation.Furthermore,the land-atmosphere cou-pling pathway is decomposed into two components—land surface control and atmospheric response—to elucidate the underlying physical mechanisms. Three circulation regimes are identified:a southwesterly-dominated regime(P1,40.80%),an easterly-domi-nated regime(P2,35.58%),and a northwesterly-dominated regime(P3,23.62%).Under P1,precipitation inten-sity and frequency are the highest,with precipitation concentrated over central and northern North China.P2 is characterized by moderate precipitation,with the main rainband shifted southward,while P3 exhibits the weakest precipitation,which is primarily confined to coastal areas.Diurnal analysis reveals a bimodal precipitation cycle under all three regimes,with the afternoon peak strongest under P1 and weakest under P3.Analyses of vertical ve-locity and the moisture budget indicate that P1 is characterized by the strongest upward motion and most pro-nounced moisture convergence,providing the most favorable dynamical and moisture conditions for afternoon convection. Across all three regimes,afternoon precipitation occurs preferentially following mornings characterized by relatively dry soils,enhanced sensible heat flux,and a lower evaporation fraction.This preference is particularly pronounced over mountainous areas under P1.Analysis of the land-atmosphere coupling pathway reveals a signifi-cant positive correlation between morning soil moisture and evaporation fraction and a significant negative corre-lation between evaporation fraction and afternoon boundary layer height.These relationships indicate that drier soils enhance sensible heating,promote deeper boundary layer development,and facilitate the lifting of boundary layer air toward the lifting condensation level,thereby favoring convective initiation.Analysis of the lifting con-densation level deficit further confirms that the deficit is consistently smaller(i.e.,less negative)over drier soils than over wetter soils across all three regimes.The largest dry-wet contrast occurs under P1,further supporting the conclusion that land-atmosphere coupling is strongest under this regime. These findings demonstrate that large-scale circulation regimes not only directly modulate precipitation inten-sity and spatial distribution through their effect on atmospheric dynamics and moisture supply but also substantially influence the strength and spatial structure of land-atmosphere coupling.The southwesterly-dominated regime provides the most favorable combination of moisture availability,dynamical forcing,and land surface feed-back,resulting in the most frequent and intense afternoon precipitation.This study provides a physical framework for understanding the synergistic effects of large-scale circulation and land surface processes on afternoon convec-tion over North China.Future studies should further validate these findings and investigate the underlying mecha-nisms using multi-source observations and numerical model simulations.
谢雨霏;魏江峰;宋媛媛;昝蓓蕾
南京信息工程大学 气候系统预测与变化应对全国重点实验室/气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210044||南京信息工程大学 大气科学学院,江苏 南京 210044||吉林省气候中心 吉林 长春 130062南京信息工程大学 气候系统预测与变化应对全国重点实验室/气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210044||南京信息工程大学 大气科学学院,江苏 南京 210044中国电波传播研究所 山东 青岛 266107南京信息工程大学 大气物理学院,江苏 南京 210044
华北地区午后降水陆气耦合K-Means聚类
North Chinaafternoon precipitationland-atmosphere couplingK-Means clustering
《大气科学学报》 2026 (5)
835-848,14
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFF0801603)国家自然科学基金项目(42475031)
评论