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基于多源数据的临近空间下边界大气变化特征对比OA

Comparative study on atmospheric variation characteristics at the lower boundary of near-space based on multi-source data

中文摘要英文摘要

基于 2009 年 ERA5(ECMWF reanalysis v5)、CRA(CMA reanalysis)大气再分析资料以及大气经验模型 NRLMSISE-00(US Naval Research Laboratory Mass Spectrometer and Incoherent Scatter Extended),利用经验正交函数(empirical orthogonal function,EOF)方法,开展临近空间下边界大气温度(T20)与大气密度(D20)的时空特征分析.结果表明:再分析资料与模式模拟的年平均 T20 均呈现出赤道低值、中纬度高值的空间分布,二者在高纬度的分布特征相反.CRA 第一模态空间场(EOF1)表现为南高北低,而模型呈反向分布;二者第一模态时间系数(PC1)均存在季节变化,但模型未能反映短期扰动.第二模态空间场(EOF2)均表现为赤道、两极低值,中纬度高值;对应的时间系数(PC2)均呈双峰结构.对于 D20,两类数据年平均场均表现为赤道高、南极低的分布特征,北极区域二者分布相反.CRA 的 EOF1 为南低北高,模型则呈现赤道高、两极低的格局.CRA 的 PC1 具有显著季节变化,模型则表现为周期性波动.CRA的 EOF2 与平均场空间分布基本一致,模型则呈现半球对称反向分布.CRA 的PC2 为双峰型季节波动,模型则为单峰结构,且二者存在时间相位偏移.最后,探讨了两类数据源在临近空间下边界关键参数分布产生差异的潜在原因.

Based on ERA5 and CRA atmospheric reanalysis datasets for 2009,together with data from the NR-LMSISE-00 empirical atmospheric model,this study employs empirical orthogonal function(EOF)analysis to investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics of atmospheric temperature(T20)and density(D20)at the lower boundary of near-space.For T20,both the reanalysis datasets and the empirical model exhibit an annual mean dis-tribution characterized by relatively low temperatures near the equator and higher temperatures at mid-latitudes,which is associated with the dynamical transport of the Brewer-Dobson circulation.However,substantial differ-ences are observed at high latitudes.The reanalysis datasets show relatively high temperatures over the southern mid-to high latitudes and the lowest temperatures over the Arctic,while NRLMSISE-00 produces a relatively warm Arctic and cold Antarctic.This discrepancy may be attributable to the model's limited ability to represent high-latitude temperature variability during periods of low solar activity.The EOF1 spatial pattern derived from CRA data is characterized by higher values in the south and lower values in the north,while NRLMSISE-00 ex-hibits the opposite pattern.The PC1 time series from both datasets show pronounced seasonal variability;however,the empirical model fails to capture short-term disturbances,such as the sudden stratospheric warming event and the easterly phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation in 2009.This limitation is likely related to the model's insuffi-cient sensitivity to anomalous dynamical processes in the lower stratosphere.The EOF2 patterns from both datasets consistently exhibit relatively low values at the equator and higher values at mid-latitudes,while their PC2 time series display a bimodal structure.However,NRLMSISE-00 does not reproduce the low-value center over the Arctic evident in the CRA data,and its fluctuation amplitude is substantially weaker.For D20,both datasets show annual mean distributions characterized by higher densities near the equator and lower densities over Antarctica,broadly opposite to the corresponding temperature distributions.However,substantial differences occur over the Arctic:NRLMSISE-00 produces relatively low densities,in contrast to the higher values in the reanalysis datasets.This discrepancy may be related to limitations in the high-latitude representation of the MSIS framework and differences in the underlying mechanisms used to construct atmospheric density.The EOF1 pattern derived from CRA is characterized by lower values in the south and higher values in the north,whereas NRLMSISE-00 exhib-its high values near the equator and lower values toward both poles.The corresponding PC1 tine series shows pro-nounced seasonal variability in CRA data but predominantly periodic fluctuations in the model results.For EOF2,the CRA pattern is broadly consistent with the annual mean distribution,while NRLMSISE-00 exhibits a hemi-spherically symmetric pattern with an approximately reversed spatial structure.This discrepancy may be associated with the use of hemispheric-specific datasets and parameterization schemes in the empirical model.The PC2 time series derived from CRA exhibits a bimodal seasonal structure,whereas that from NRLMSISE-00 displays a uni-modal structure,with its peak occurring earlier than that in the CRA data.This temporal discrepancy may reflect the model's limited responsiveness to atmospheric dynamical variability and its reduced ability to capture transient processes.Overall,the results reveal substantial differences between meteorological reanalysis datasets and the NRLMSISE-00 empirical model in representing the principal atmospheric parameters at the lower boundary of near-space.These findings improve our understanding of the complex spatiotemporal variability of temperature and density in this region provide useful guidance for improving the representation of key physical processes at high latitudes and the model's response to short-term atmospheric disturbances.

黄伊蕾;李正;吕建永;李婧媛;张华;阮海炳

南京信息工程大学 临近空间环境特性及效应全国重点实验室/空间天气江苏省高校重点实验室,江苏 南京 210044南京信息工程大学 临近空间环境特性及效应全国重点实验室/空间天气江苏省高校重点实验室,江苏 南京 210044南京信息工程大学 临近空间环境特性及效应全国重点实验室/空间天气江苏省高校重点实验室,江苏 南京 210044南京信息工程大学 临近空间环境特性及效应全国重点实验室/空间天气江苏省高校重点实验室,江苏 南京 210044南京信息工程大学 临近空间环境特性及效应全国重点实验室/空间天气江苏省高校重点实验室,江苏 南京 210044南京信息工程大学 临近空间环境特性及效应全国重点实验室/空间天气江苏省高校重点实验室,江苏 南京 210044

临近空间下边界经验正交函数气象再分析资料大气经验模型

near-space lower boundaryempirical orthogonal functionmeteorological reanalysis dataempirical atmospheric model

《大气科学学报》 2026 (5)

822-834,13

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFF0503702)

10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20250530005

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