数字经济对林业绿色全要素生产率的影响研究OA
Research on the impact of digital economy on forestry green total factor productivity
提升林业绿色全要素生产率对推动林业产业绿色高质量发展至关重要.基于2013-2022年中国30个省份的面板数据,文章通过基准回归、中介效应分析及稳健性检验等,系统探究数字经济对林业绿色全要素生产率的影响.研究表明:(1)数字经济显著促进林业绿色全要素生产率提升,促进效应系数为0.890,控制内生性后系统广义矩估计系数为0.752,且该结论经过多种稳健性检验以及内生性检验后依然成立;(2)机制分析表明,数字经济通过优化林业产业结构和推动绿色技术创新两条路径间接促进林业绿色全要素生产率,其中产业结构优化的中介效应占比约18.6%,绿色技术创新的中介效应占比约27.3%,形成从数字赋能到绿色发展的完整传导路径;(3)数字经济对东部地区、森林资源匮乏区域及环境监管严格地区的促进效应更为显著,而对中西部地区、森林资源丰富区域及环境监管宽松地区的驱动作用相对较弱.文章从动态面板视角识别数字经济对林业绿色全要素生产率长期稳态的影响,揭示了"产业结构优化"与"绿色技术创新"的双重中介机制,并基于三类异质性分组明确了数字经济的差异化作用边界.政策启示:夯实林业数字基础设施,深化数字技术与全产业链融合,强化产业结构优化与绿色技术创新的双轮驱动;实施差异化区域适配策略,推动环境规制与数字经济协同治理,形成倒逼与赋能叠加效应.
Enhancing forestry green total factor productivity(FGTFP)is crucial for promoting high-quality green development of foresty industry.Based on provincial panel data from 2012 to 2022,this paper systematically investigates the impact of the digital economy on FGTFP through fixed-effect models,mediating effect analysis and robustness testing.Key findings and conclusions include:(1)The digital economy significantly enhances FGTFP,with a promotion coefficient of 0.890 and a system GMM coefficient of 0.752 after endogeneity control.This conclusion remains valid after rigorous robustness and endogeneity tests.(2)Mechanism analysis reveals that the digital economy indirectly promotes FGTFP through two pathways:optimizing the forestry industrial structure and driving green technological innovation.The mediating effect of industrial structure optimization accounts for approximately 18.6%,while that of green technological innovation contributes about 27.3%,forming a comprehensive transmission pathway from digital empowerment to green development.(3)The digital economy exerts more pronounced effects on eastern regions,areas with scarce forest resources,and regions with stringent environmental regulations,whereas its driving force is relatively weaker in central and western regions,areas rich in forest resources and regions with lenient environmental oversight.This paper examines the long-term steady-state impact of the digital economy on FGTFP from a dynamic panel perspective,identifying dual mediating mechanisms of"industrial structure optimization"and"green technological innovation".Through three heterogeneous grouping approaches,it clarifies the differentiated operational boundaries of the digital economy.Policy recommendations:strengthening forestry digital infrastructure,deepening the integration of digital technologies across the entire industrial chain,and enhancing the dual-driven approach of industrial structure optimization and green technological innovation,implementing region-specific adaptation strategies to promote synergistic governance between environmental regulations and the digital economy,thereby creating combined effects of constraint and empowerment.
韩蓓蓓;李红勋
北京林业大学经济管理学院 北京 100083北京林业大学经济管理学院 北京 100083
管理科学
数字经济林业绿色全要素生产率绿色技术创新产业结构
digital economyforestry green total factor productivitygreen technological innovationindustrial structure
《林业经济》 2026 (6)
44-63,20
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