"主题—工具—效力"三维视域下中国未来产业政策量化评估与优化路径研究OA

[Purpose/significance]Policies serve as a critical safeguard for guiding cutting-edge technological innovation and fostering a modern industrial system.Systematically evaluating the future industrial policy system and exploring its optimization paths are of great significance for enhancing the scientificity of policies and strengthening industrial competitive advantages.[Method/process]Based on a three-dimensional of framework"theme-tool-effectiveness",this study conducts a systematic quantitative assessment of 19 provincial-level future industry policies in China using a combination of content analysis,LDA-based topic modeling,and the PMC index approach.[Result/conclusion]The research indicate that while the thematic coverage is comprehensive,coordination is fragmented.Stronger links are needed across different government departments and regions.The policy tools show the structural imbalance of"strong supply side,weak environmental side,insufficient demand side".As a result,relevant innovation-chain and industry-chain integration is difficult.The overall effectiveness of policy implementation is good.But the policy system faces the problems of timeliness,evaluation precision,and iterative responsiveness.Consequently,this study proposes three corresponding optimization paths:establishing the system of cross-sector and cross-regional collaborative governance,making supply tools,environment tools and demand tools in dynamical balance,and optimizing policy by incorporating regulatory sandbox and third-party evaluation mechanisms.The research provides theoretical and prac-tical references for resolving the structural contradiction of"high policy effectiveness-low dynamic adaptability".It also facilitates a shift in future industrial policy from isolated breakthroughs to systemic empowerment.