农村集体产权制度改革对县域经济的影响OACHSSCD
The Impact of Reform of Rural Collective Property Rights System on County-Level Economic Development
农村集体产权制度改革是释放县域经济活力、实现共同富裕的重要途径.基于2013-2022年全国1589个县域的平衡面板数据,将农村集体产权制度改革试点作为准自然实验,运用双重机器学习模型与双重稳健工具变量模型,探究农村集体产权制度改革对县域经济增长的影响及作用机制.研究发现:农村集体产权制度改革能够显著促进县域经济增长,多种方式的稳健性检验支持该结论.农村集体产权制度改革通过促进产业集聚和产业结构高级化推动县域经济增长.改革成效呈现明显异质性:在产业结构维度上,对工业主导县的促进作用显著,对服务业主导县影响未通过显著性检验,对农业县则可能产生负向影响;在区域发展基础维度上,对脱贫攻坚时期非贫困县的作用更为明显,对贫困县的影响未通过显著性检验.提出应持续深化农村集体产权制度改革,强化政策的空间适配性,构建分层分类的推进体系.
The reform of the rural collective property rights system is an important way to unleash the vitality of county economies and achieve common prosperity.Based on balanced panel data from 1,589 counties in China from 2013 to 2022,this study treats the pilot implementation of rural collective property rights system reform as a quasi-natural experiment and employs a Double Machine Learning(DML)model and a doubly robust instrumental variable(DR-IV)model to examine the impact of the reform on county-level economic growth and its underlying mechanisms.The results show that the re-form significantly promotes county economic growth,and this conclusion is supported by various robust-ness checks.Mechanism analysis indicates that the reform promotes county-level economic growth by fos-tering industrial agglomeration and upgrading the industrial structure.The effects of the reform exhibit clear heterogeneity.In terms of industrial structure,the reform has a significant positive effect on counties dominated by industry,while its effect on counties dominated by the service sector is not statistically sig-nificant and may even be negative in agricultural counties.In terms of the development foundation of dif-ferent regions,the effect is more pronounced in non-poverty counties during the period of the targeted poverty alleviation campaign,whereas the effect on counties stricken by poverty is not statistically signifi-cant.Therefore,it is necessary to continuously deepen the reform of the rural collective property rights system,strengthen the spatial adaptability of policies,and establish a differentiated implementation frame-work tailored to different types of counties.
王士海;王薇;罗明忠
安徽农业大学 经济管理学院,安徽 合肥 230036||安徽农业大学 中国合作经济研究院,安徽 合肥 230036安徽农业大学 经济管理学院,安徽 合肥 230036华南农业大学 经济管理学院,广东 广州 510642
管理科学
农村集体产权制度改革县域经济发展产业集聚双重机器学习模型
reform of rural collective property rights systemcounty-level economic develop-mentindustrial agglomerationdouble machine learning model
《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (5)
83-95,13
国家社会科学基金重大项目"新型农村集体经济的发展路径、运行机制与政策支持研究"(23&ZD112)国家社会科学基金项目"权属固化趋势下承包地细碎化互换治理模式研究"(23BJY183).
评论