山地旅游发展成熟期的长效协同何以可能?OACHSSCD
How is long-term synergistic governance possible in the mature stage of mountain tourism development?A multi-stakeholders evolutionary game analysis:A case of Yulong Snow Mountain Scenic Area
旅游企业、山地社区和政府监管部门是山地旅游活动的核心利益主体,三方主体能否形成长期有效协同,直接影响到山地旅游的可持续发展.当山地旅游进入成熟期后,游客规模趋于饱和、环境压力持续显化、各方主体策略选择趋于保守僵持,治理碎片化问题尤为突出.文中聚焦这一特定阶段的治理难题,基于演化博弈理论,以玉龙雪山景区为例,构建三方主体的演化博弈模型,运用MATLAB仿真分析各方主体对山地旅游发展的影响与系统长效协同条件.结果表明:1)收益类参数是驱动政府监管部门与旅游企业策略转变的高敏感变量.2)山地社区深度参与策略相对稳健,但文化冲击等隐性折损成本若长期得不到补偿,将成为社区退出协同、瓦解长效治理的结构性隐患.3)游客满意度是驱动系统向理想均衡点收敛的隐性动力源,其反馈效率直接影响协同治理体系的收敛速度.研究对山地旅游发展的理论分析有所补充,研究结论可为科学制定山地旅游发展规划与阶段性策略提供依据,并为多主体实现长效协同治理提供决策参考.
Tourism enterprises,mountain communities,and government regulatory agencies are the core stakeholders in mountain tourism activities.Whether these three parties can form long-term and effective collaboration directly affects the sustainable development of mountain tourism.When mountain tourism enters the mature stage,tourist numbers tend to saturate,environmental pressures become increasingly evident,and the strategic choices of all parties shift toward conservatism and stalemate,making the problem of fragmented governance particularly prominent.This study focuses on the governance challenges of this specific stage.Based on evolutionary game theory and taking the Yulong Snow Mountain scenic area as a case study,an evolutionary game model of the three stakeholders is constructed,and MATLAB simulations are used to analyze the influence of each party on mountain tourism development and the conditions for long-term system synergy.The results indicate that:1)Revenue-related parameters are highly sensitive variables driving strategic shifts in government regulatory agencies and tourism enterprises.2)The deep participation strategy of mountain communities is relatively robust,but if hidden erosion costs such as cultural shocks remain uncompensated over the long term,they will become structural hidden dangers that cause communities to withdraw from collaboration and undermine long-term governance.3)Tourist satisfaction serves as a latent driving force that steers the system toward the ideal equilibrium point,and its feedback efficiency directly affects the convergence speed of the collaborative governance system.This study contributes to the theoretical analysis of mountain tourism development,and the findings can provide a basis for scientifically formulating mountain tourism development plans and phased strategies,as well as offer decision-making references for achieving long-term collaborative governance among multiple stakeholders.
明庆忠;蔡秋怡;史鹏飞
云南财经大学旅游文化产业研究院,昆明 650221云南财经大学旅游文化产业研究院,昆明 650221黄山学院旅游学院,黄山 245041
管理科学
山地旅游利益主体演化博弈仿真分析旅游影响
mountain tourismstakeholdersevolutionary gamesimulation analysistourism impact
《干旱区资源与环境》 2026 (10)
113-128,16
国家自然科学基金项目(42571298)"兴滇英才支持计划-云岭学者"专项支持项目(YNWR-YLXZ-2016-008)云南财经大学科学研究基金项目(2025H2)资助.
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