水肥一体化技术如何缓解农户生计脆弱性OACHSSCD
How does fertigation alleviate farmers' livelihood vulnerability:Evidence from Southern Xinjiang
在脱贫巩固地区推广农业节水技术对于增强农户生计韧性、防范规模性返贫具有重要意义.文中基于南疆四地州504份农户调查数据,采用预期贫困法(VEP)测度农户生计脆弱性,并运用OLS、倾向得分匹配及工具变量方法,实证检验了水肥一体化技术对农户生计脆弱性的缓解效应.结果表明:1)水肥一体化技术对农户生计脆弱性具有显著缓解效应,生计脆弱性平均下降7.4%,且该结论在一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立.2)机制分析表明,水肥一体化技术可以显著提升农户生产效率、降低农业生产风险和优化种植结构.3)异质性分析发现,相较于河灌区和井河混灌区农户,水肥一体化技术对井灌区农户生计脆弱性的缓解效应更强;相较于未参与土地流入和未拥有大型农业机械设备农户,该技术对土地流入户和拥有大型农业机械设备农户的缓解效应更强.基于此,水肥一体化技术推广应充分考虑不同地区脱贫巩固群体的生计脆弱性特征,并结合灌溉水源、土地经营和农业装备条件实施差异化推广,完善灌溉设施配套和农业社会化服务体系,扩大技术覆盖范围,改善脱贫巩固群体的技术应用条件.
Promoting fertigation technology in poverty-consolidation areas is of great significance for enhancing farmers' livelihood resilience and preventing large-scale poverty relapse.Based on survey data from 504 farm households in the four prefectures of Southern Xinjiang,this study employs the vulnerability as expected poverty(VEP)approach to measure farmers' livelihood vulnerability and applies the ordinary least squares(OLS),propensity score matching(PSM),and instrumental variable(Ⅳ)methods to examine the impact of fertigation technology on farmers' livelihood vulnerability.The results indicate that:1)The adoption of fertigation technology significantly reduces farmers' livelihood vulnerability by 7.4%,and this finding remains robust after a series of robustness tests.2)Mechanism analysis shows that fertigation technology significantly improves farmers' production efficiency,reduces agricultural production risks,and optimizes cropping structures.3)Heterogeneity analysis shows that,compared with households in river-irrigated areas and areas with combined groundwater and river irrigation,the mitigating effect of fertigation technology on livelihood vulnerability is stronger for households in groundwater-irrigated areas,the effect is also stronger for households with land transferred in and households owning large-scale agricultural machinery than for those without.Accordingly,the promotion of fertigation technology should take into account the livelihood vulnerability characteristics of poverty-consolidation groups across different regions and adopt differentiated promotion strategies based on irrigation water sources,land management,and agricultural equipment conditions.Supporting irrigation facilities and agricultural socialized service systems should also be improved to expand technology coverage and improve the conditions for technology application among poverty-consolidation groups.
罗万云;单鑫鑫;李晓榕
新疆大学经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐 830046||新疆大学新疆创新管理研究中心,乌鲁木齐 830046新疆大学经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐 830046||新疆大学新疆创新管理研究中心,乌鲁木齐 830046新疆大学经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐 830046||新疆大学新疆创新管理研究中心,乌鲁木齐 830046
管理科学
南疆水肥一体化技术农户生计脆弱性预期贫困法
Southern Xinjiangfertigationfarm household livelihood vulnerabilityexpected poverty approach
《干旱区资源与环境》 2026 (10)
55-65,11
国家社会科学基金(21CJY038)资助.
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