气温变化会带来医保基金支出的增加吗?OACHSSCD

Against the backdrop of global climate warming,this study adopts the novel ana-lytical perspective of temperature changes,integrating empirical analysis based on historical data and simulation calculations using predictive data to explore the impact of temperature variations on medical insurance fund expenditures.Empirical tests reveal a positive U-shaped relationship between average annual temperature and medical insurance fund expenditures,while the annual standard deviation of daily average temperatures,spring standard deviation,and the number of days falling within high and low temperature ranges all exhibit positive effects on fund expendi-tures.Humidity exacerbates the adverse effects of high temperatures,and the impact of tempera-ture changes on medical insurance fund expenditures is more pronounced in northern and western regions.Simulation results indicate that under the high-carbon emission shared socioeconomic pathway,the increasing effect of rising average annual temperatures on medical insurance fund expenditures becomes more significant.Accordingly,it is recommended to establish a climate-an-ticipating early warning system for the safe operation of medical insurance funds,formulate sus-tainable development strategies for medical insurance systems adapted to temperature changes,and actively enhance the health risk prevention capabilities of insured populations.