首页|期刊导航|健康发展与政策研究|新疆医疗资源供需耦合协调发展状况及空间相关性分析

新疆医疗资源供需耦合协调发展状况及空间相关性分析OA

Analysis of the coupling and coordinated development of supply and demand of medical resources in Xinjiang and its spatial correlation

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 探讨新疆14个地州市医疗资源供需耦合协调发展及空间分布状况,为促进新疆医疗资源供需均衡发展提供参考依据.方法 在构建医疗资源供需指标体系的基础上,综合运用耦合协调度模型、相对发展度和空间自相关等分析方法,考察2023年新疆各地州市医疗资源供需耦合协调发展状况及空间集聚程度.结果 新疆医疗资源供需耦合协调程度总体较低,多数(12个)地州市处于低层次协调(D<0.4),仅2个地州市处于中层次协调(D≥0.4);3个地州市供需同步发展,7个地州市供给超前于需求,4个地州市供给相对落后;莫兰指数为-0.257(P=0.121,Z=-1.149),医疗资源供需2个子系统空间呈现随机分布状态.结论 新疆14个地州市医疗资源供需失衡,协调发展程度欠佳,需求发展相对不足,空间集聚性较弱.建议加强政府主导,实施宏观调控重构结构;坚持需求导向,借助医疗援疆力量,促进优质医疗资源扩容和均衡配置;通过供需联动提升资源利用效率,推进区域医疗协同发展.

Objective To explore the coordinated development and spatial distribution of coupled supply and demand of healthcare resources in 14 prefectures of Xinjiang,and to provide reference for promoting balanced development of medical resources.Method On the basis of constructing the medical resources supply and demand index system,the coupled coordination degree model,relative development degree,and spatial autocorrelation and other analytical methods are comprehensively applied to examine the coupled coordination of medical resources supply and demand and the degree of spatial agglomeration of medical resources in Xinjiang's prefectures and cities in 2023.Results The overall level of coupling coordination between medical resource supply and demand in Xinjiang was relatively low,with most(12)prefectures and cities at a low level of coordination(D<0.4),and only two at a moderate level(D≥0.4).Three regions showed synchronized development of supply and demand,seven had supply ahead of demand,and four lagged behind in supply.The Moran's I was-0.257(P=0.121,Z=-1.149),indicating a random spatial distribution of the two subsystems—supply and demand.Conclusions Medical resource supply and demand are imbalanced across Xinjiang's 14 prefectures and cities,with poor coordination,insufficient demand-side development,and weak spatial agglomeration.It is recommended to strengthen government leadership and implement macro-level regulation to restructure the system;adhere to demand-oriented strategies,leverage medical assistance programs for Xinjiang,and promote expansion and equitable allocation of high-quality medical resources;enhance resource utilization efficiency through integrated supply-demand coordination,and advance regional medical collaboration.

乔心雨;祁晓颖;路阳;乔铮;刘钰鹏

新疆医科大学公共卫生学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830054伊宁市人民医院,新疆 伊宁 835099新疆维吾尔自治区人民医院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830001新疆医科大学附属肿瘤医院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830000新疆维吾尔自治区矿山安全服务保障中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830063

医药卫生

医疗资源配置供需平衡耦合协调度模型空间相关性

medical resource allocationsupply and demand balancecoupling coordination degree modelspatial correlation

《健康发展与政策研究》 2026 (4)

589-594,646,7

新疆维吾尔自治区"天山英才"医药卫生高层次人才培养计划(TSYC202301B113)新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金面上项目(2022D01C597)

10.12458/HDPR.202508068

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