基于类难度感知CDPL的深度学习非均衡信用评价模型OA
Imbalanced Credit Evaluation Model of Deep Learning Based on Class Difficulty Perception Loss
信用风险的有效管理对金融体系的稳健运行至关重要.针对传统信用评价模型在高风险违约客户识别中精准度不足的问题,本文通过构造可反映各类样本实时识别难度的权重项、改进交叉熵函数,构建了 BPNN-CDPL 深度学习非均衡信用评价模型;同时采用 11 种对比模型与 5 项模型评价准则,对该模型的违约预测性能进行验证.研究表明:本文提出的模型对具备不同非均衡比和信贷特征的信贷数据具有良好的适应能力,能够显著提升金融机构重点关注的高风险违约客户识别精度;与现有信用评价模型相比,该模型的违约预测性能具有明显优势.本文的创新与特色体现为:在交叉熵函数中引入可反映各类样本实时识别难度的权重项,对两类样本的损失进行动态权衡,既突破了现有深度学习模型对非均衡信贷数据适用性不足的局限,又改善了 BPNN-FocalLoss 模型因未考虑两类样本数量差异导致违约样本识别效果不佳的问题,同时避免了 BPNN-CBCE 模型因对样本权重采用"一刀切"处理、过度抑制非违约样本的现象.本研究拓展了深度学习信用评估方法的理论研究,可为金融机构开展信用风险管理提供新思路.
Effective management of credit risk is crucial for the stable operation of the financial system.In response to the problem of low accuracy in identifying high-risk default customers in traditional credit evaluation models,a dynamic weight term that reflects the real-time identification difficulty of each sample type is constructed to improve the cross-entropy loss function.On this basis,a back propagation neural network-class difficulty perception loss(BPNN-CDPL)credit evaluation model is established.The default prediction performance of the model is validated using 11 comparative models and five model evaluation metrics.The results show that the proposed model has good adaptability to credit data with different imbalance ratios and credit characteristics,and can significantly improve the identification accuracy of high-risk default customers,which is of primary concern to financial institutions.Compared with existing credit evaluation models,the proposed model exhibits superior default prediction performance.The innovations and contributions of this paper are as follows:introducing dynamic weight terms into the cross-entropy function breaks through the limitations of traditional deep learning models with weak applicability to imbalanced samples,improving the poor recognition performance of the back propagation neural network-focal loss(BPNN-Focal Loss)model on default samples due to not considering differences in sample size between classes,and avoiding the excessive suppression of non-default samples in back propagation neural network-class balanced cross entropy(BPNN-CBCE)model caused by"uniform"sample weighting.This paper extends the theoretical development of deep learning methods and provides new ideas for credit risk management in financial institutions.
杨莲;刘文秀;柴娜娜;石宝峰
山东农业大学 经济管理学院,山东 泰安 271018南京师范大学 商学院,南京 210023西北农林科技大学 经济管理学院,陕西 咸阳 712100||西北农林科技大学 信用大数据应用研究中心,陕西 咸阳 712100西北农林科技大学 经济管理学院,陕西 咸阳 712100||西北农林科技大学 信用大数据应用研究中心,陕西 咸阳 712100
管理科学
信用评价非均衡类难度感知交叉熵
credit evaluationunbalanceclass difficulty perceptioncross entropy
《系统管理学报》 2026 (5)
1338-1351,14
国家社会科学基金重大项目(23&ZD175)国家自然科学基金资助项目(72303139,72173096,71873103)山东省自然科学基金青年项目(ZR2024QG002)2024年度国家资助博士后研究人员计划B档资助项目(GZB20240546)中和农信星空计划项目(K4030218167)
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