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机器学习桥接城市内涝与气候风险:研究进展与展望OA

Machine learning bridging urban waterlogging and climate risk:a review and outlook

中文摘要英文摘要

气候变化和城市化进程共同导致了极端天气事件频发,城市内涝风险日益严峻,传统方法却难以应对气候科学与城市内涝之间的割裂.本文通过系统综述与批判性分析现有文献,首次总结提炼出机器学习作为连接两大领域的3种核心"桥梁"模式:多尺度数据同化与特征转换的桥梁、物理机理与数据驱动融合的建模桥梁、不确定性量化与风险传递的评估桥梁.首先剖析了两者的耦合机制及关键挑战;继而综述了支撑桥梁模式的关键技术;并通过具体案例阐述了每种模式如何实质性解决相关核心问题.本文所归纳的研究框架为理解并应对气候变化下的城市内涝风险提供了新视角.

Climate change and urbanization have led to frequent extreme weather events and severe urban waterlogging risks,while conventional methods fail to bridge the gap between climate science and urban waterlogging management.Through systematic review and critical analysis,this paper for the first time summarizes three core"bridging"modes of machine learning connecting the two domains:multi-scale data assimilation and feature transformation bridge,model-ing bridge integrating physical mechanisms and data-driven approaches,and assessment bridge for uncertainty quantific-ation and risk transmission.This paper first analyzes the coupling mechanism between climate science and urban water-logging research and key challenges,then reviews key technologies supporting these bridging modes,and elaborates how each mode addresses core issues through case studies.This summarized framework provides a novel perspective for understanding and mitigating urban waterlogging risks under climate change.

齐小刚;张旭;李家慧

西安电子科技大学数学与统计学院,陕西西安 710071||西安市信息网络优化与数学方法重点实验室,陕西西安 710071西安电子科技大学数学与统计学院,陕西西安 710071西安电子科技大学数学与统计学院,陕西西安 710071||西安市信息网络优化与数学方法重点实验室,陕西西安 710071

信息技术与安全科学

机器学习城市内涝气候风险数据同化特征转换物理机理数据驱动不确定性量化风险传递

machine learningurban waterloggingclimate riskdata assimilationfeature transformationphysical mechanismdata-drivenuncertainty quantificationrisk transmission

《智能系统学报》 2026 (5)

1106-1129,24

国家自然科学基金项目(62372354,62373291).

10.11992/tis.202511003

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