美伊博弈下情报披露效能风险剖析OACHSSCD

[Purpose]Aiming to explore the balance between the efficacy and risks of intelligence disclosure,this paper constructs an oper-ational principle system of intelligence disclosure adapted to asymmetric rivalry scenarios.[Method]Taking the intelligence disclosure in the U.S.-Iran rivalry from 2025 to 2026 as the research case,this paper adopts the case analysis and comparative research method,takes the"Efficacy-Risk"Dual Balance as the core analytical framework,and systematically compares the differentiated disclosure practices,ef-ficacy generation mechanisms and risk management issues between the two sides in asymmetric rivalry.[Result/Conclusion]As a core strategic tool of the rivalry in the cognitive domain in hybrid warfare,the efficacy of intelligence disclosure must be centered on the"Effi-cacy-Risk"balance,thereby constructing a core principle system of intelligence disclosure consisting of three levels and eight dimensions:core bottom lines,efficacy benchmarks,and strategic approaches.