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不确定需求下氢能供应链多区域协同控制策略OA

Multi-regional collaborative control for hydrogen supply chains under uncertain demands

中文摘要英文摘要

用氢需求的不确定性造成氢能供应链实际运作难以匹配期望规划,引发非必要资源损耗、经济成本增加等问题.由此,文中提出一种协同控制策略,使得氢能供应链多区域生产-库存协同运作.首先,考虑储氢损失和运氢时延内外因素,建立氢能供应链运作动态机理模型.其次,面向不确定性需求下多区域协同控制目标,将运作机理模型转为状态空间控制模型.然后,基于 Lyapunov-Krasovskii时滞稳定性分析和大系统控制理论,对研究的生产-库存控制系统进行多区域协同性能分析和控制设计.最后,通过电力系统三区域氢能供应案例验证所提策略的有效性.案例结果表明,所提协同控制能使得多区域生产-库存运作匹配期望规划,且相比没有施加协同控制的场景,储制氢平均偏差降低 82.2%,能有效减少运作成本,可为氢能供应链企业提供辅助决策.

The uncertainty in hydrogen demand leads to a misalignment between the actual operation of the hydrogen supply chains and its expected planning,resulting in unnecessary resource waste and increased economic costs.To address this issue,a collaborative control strategy is proposed to coordinate multi-regional production-inventory operations in the hydrogen supply chains.Firstly,considering internal and external factors such as hydrogen storage losses and transportation delays,a dynamic mechanism model of the hydrogen supply chain operation is established.Then,aiming at the goal of multi-regional coordination under uncertain demand,the operational mechanism model is transformed into a state-space control model.Subsequently,based on Lyapunov-Krasovskii time-delay stability analysis and large-scale system control theory,the multi-regional coordination performance of the production-inventory control system is analyzed,and a control strategy is designed.Finally,a case study of a three-region hydrogen supply in a power system is presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed strategy.The results show that the collaborative control enables multi-regional production-inventory operations to align with expected planning.Compared to scenarios without collaborative control,the average deviation in hydrogen production and storage is reduced by 82.2%,effectively lowering operational costs.Thus,this study provides a decision-support solution for enterprises in the hydrogen supply chains.

李旭涛;李宏强;张宁博;顾雨嘉;徐鹏;张亚健

国网宁夏电力有限公司电力科学研究院,宁夏 银川 750001国网宁夏电力有限公司电力科学研究院,宁夏 银川 750001国网宁夏电力有限公司电力科学研究院,宁夏 银川 750001国网宁夏电力有限公司电力科学研究院,宁夏 银川 750001许继电气股份有限公司,河南 许昌 461000上海大学机电工程与自动化学院,上海 200444

信息技术与安全科学

用氢需求不确定性氢能供应链运作动态运输时延多区域协同控制

hydrogen demanduncertaintyhydrogen supply chainoperational dynamicstransportation delaysmulti-regional collaborative control

《电力工程技术》 2026 (9)

95-103,117,10

国家自然科学基金资助项目(62103254)宁夏自然科学基金资助项目(2024AAC03753)

10.12158/j.2096-3203.2026.09.009

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