湖南省县域经济高质量发展的时空差异与分布动态OA
Spatial-Temporal Differences and Distribution Dynamics of High-Quality Development of County Economy in Hunan Province
以 2010-2024 年湖南省 122 个县(市、区)为研究对象,基于新发展理念构建县域经济高质量发展评价指标体系,采用熵权-TOPSIS 法测度综合评价指数,结合 Moran's I 指数与 Kernel 密度估计,系统分析湖南县域经济高质量发展的时空差异与分布动态.结果显示:样本期内,湖南县域经济高质量发展呈波动上升态势,且具有明显的阶段性分化特征,开放发展与协调发展构成主要支撑,创新、共享短板突出,绿色发展为底线约束;空间格局上呈现"长株潭领先、洞庭湖稳健、湘南分化、大湘西偏弱"的梯度分异格局,"高-高"集聚与"低-低"集聚特征显著,整体水平提升伴随差距扩大与头部极化.据此提出分区施策、动力升级、城乡协同、弱县帮扶四大优化路径,以期缩小县域发展差距、推动湖南省区域协调发展.
Using the data of 122 counties(cities,districts)in Hunan Province from 2010 to 2024,this paper constructed an evaluation index system for high-quality development of county economy based on the new development philosophy.The entropy weight-TOPSIS method,Moran's I index,and kernel density estimation were adopted to systematically analyze the spatial-temporal differences and distribution dynamics of high-quality development of county economy in Hunan Province.The results showed that during the study period,the high-quality development of county economy in Hunan Province presented fluctuating growth and staged differentiation,which was mainly driven by opening-up and coordination.However,innovation and sharing exhibited shortcomings,and green development acted as a bottom-line constraint.The spatial pattern of county economy displayed gradient differentiation featuring leading performance in Changsha,Zhuzhou,and Xiangtan,steady development in Dongting Lake region,differentiated growth in Southern Hunan,and weak development in Western Hunan,with significant characteristics of high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration.The overall improvement was accompanied by widening gaps and increasing polarization.Accordingly,this paper proposed four optimization paths—implementing differentiated policies for different regions,upgrading the driving forces,coordinating urban-rural development,and assisting in underdeveloped counties—to narrow county development disparities and facilitate the coordinated development between regions in Hunan Province.
王梓喆;匡远配
湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南 长沙 410128湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南 长沙 410128
管理科学
县域经济高质量发展区域差异时空格局湖南省
county economyhigh-quality developmentregional differencesspatial-temporal patternHunan Province
《湖南农业科学》 2026 (7)
100-110,11
国家自然科学基金项目(71973042)
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