首页|期刊导航|含能材料|基于机器学习的低温低压环境下典型炸药爆炸冲击波参数预测

基于机器学习的低温低压环境下典型炸药爆炸冲击波参数预测OA

Machine Learning-based Prediction of Blast Parameters for Typical Explosives under Low Temperature and Pressure Environments

中文摘要英文摘要

为实现对低温低压环境下典型炸药爆炸冲击波参数的准确预测,利用量纲分析理论结合AUTODYN有限元软件数值仿真,获取了不同低温低压下各类典型炸药爆炸冲击波参数的完整数据集.采用随机森林回归算法构建了炸药爆炸冲击波参数的机器学习预测模型,并对比分析了预测精度,通过SHAP值理论对各特征量的影响权重进行了量化分析.结果表明,建立的爆炸冲击波参数机器学习预测模型只需输入炸药和空气的相关物性参数,即可较准确地预测常温常压、单一低温、单一低压和低温低压耦合的高海拔等多种环境下典型炸药的超压峰值、比冲量、到达时间和正压作用时间等爆炸冲击波参数,避免了通过TNT当量因子换算带来的误差.模型预测的平均相对误差小于15%,具有较好的预测精度和泛化能力.相较于多方指数与绝热指数,无量纲距离对炸药爆炸冲击波参数的影响最为显著.高海拔环境中,大气压力的降低导致超压峰值和比冲量的下降,到达时间的缩短,正压作用时间的延长.环境温度的降低则对比冲量有增强作用,延长了到达时间和正压作用时间,对超压峰值影响微弱.

To accurately predict the blast parameters of various typical explosives under low-temperature and low-pressure condi-tions,a comprehensive dataset was established by integrating dimensional analysis with numerical simulations using the AUTO-DYN software.Based on the dataset,a machine learning model employing the random forest regression algorithm was devel-oped for blast parameter prediction,and its performance was systematically evaluated.The importance of characteristic variables was further quantified using the Shapley Additive Explanations.Results indicate that the proposed model requires only relevant properties of the explosives and air as inputs to accurately predict the blast parameters—including peak overpressure,impulse,arrival time,and duration—across a wide range of conditions,encompassing normal temperature and pressure,low-temperature,low-pressure,and high-altitude environments.The model achieves an average relative error of less than 15%,indicating strong predictive accuracy and generalization capability.Notably,the model eliminates the need for TNT equivalent conversion,and avoids discrepancies associated with different TNT equivalency models.Sensitivity analysis identifies dimension-less distance as the most influential parameter governing blast behavior.Under high-altitude conditions,reduced atmospheric pressure leads to decreased peak overpressure and impulse,earlier arrival times,and prolonged durations.In contrast,lower am-bient temperatures result in increased impulse,as well as extended arrival times and durations,while exerting a negligible effect on peak overpressure.

李瑞;张浩;戴增杰;汪泉;张亮;胡明航;陈雅静;崔晓荣;黄寅生

安徽理工大学化工与爆破学院,安徽 淮南 232001||宏大民爆集团有限公司,广东 广州 510623安徽理工大学化工与爆破学院,安徽 淮南 232001安徽理工大学化工与爆破学院,安徽 淮南 232001安徽理工大学化工与爆破学院,安徽 淮南 232001西藏高争民爆股份有限公司,西藏 拉萨 850000安徽理工大学化工与爆破学院,安徽 淮南 232001安徽理工大学化工与爆破学院,安徽 淮南 232001宏大民爆集团有限公司,广东 广州 510623南京理工大学化学与化工学院,江苏 南京 210094

军事科技

爆炸冲击波机器学习低温低压超压峰值比冲量到达时间正压作用时间

blast wavemachine learninglow-temperature and low-pressurepeak overpressureimpulsearrival timeduration

《含能材料》 2026 (9)

1043-1054,12

安徽省高等学校科学研究重点项目(2023AH051221)西藏自治区科技计划项目(XZ202401JX0001)安徽省自然科学基金(2208085QA26)

10.11943/CJEM2026076

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