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美以伊战事下的不可抗力条款分析及风险应对OACHSSCD

Analysis of force majeure clauses and risk management under the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflicts:an empirical study based on 184 contracts in the oil and gas industry in the Gulf Region

中文摘要英文摘要

美以伊战事及霍尔木兹海峡封闭触发海湾地区油气行业合同不可抗力风险.该不可抗力风险呈现出全面覆盖和延宕反复的特点,对准确把握不可抗力条款提出了更高要求.研究选取海湾地区油气行业184个合同样本,对其不可抗力条款约定的若干特点进行统计分析.基于实证分析结果,结合《联合国国际货物销售合同公约》《国际商事合同通则》和阿联酋、伊拉克、沙特阿拉伯、卡塔尔等海湾国家立法规定,以及国际咨询工程师联合会《施工合同条件》条款规定,对不可抗力的定义方式、债务人的通知义务等海湾地区合同不可抗力条款的核心要件进行分析,明确法律要求和实践习惯,并在美以伊战事背景下进行检视.在条款研究基础上,分析提出在美以伊战事背景下债务人主张不可抗力免责和债权人应对不可抗力免责的攻防策略及实务建议.合同各方在面对不可抗力免责时均应恪守谨慎原则,在正确维护自身利益的基础上尽量避免破坏长期合作关系,同时尽可能事先为应对潜在风险搭建多层次、可替代的合同条款体系.

The U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered force majeure risks for contracts in the oil and gas industry across the Gulf region.These risks are wide-ranging,long,and recurrent,requiring greater precision in the interpretation and application of force majeure clauses.This paper selects 184 contracts from the oil and gas industry in the Gulf region and conducts a statistical analysis of the main characteristics of their force majeure clauses.Drawing on the empirical findings and combining the CISG,the UPICC,the FIDIC Conditions of Contract for Construction,and the laws of the United Arab Emirates,Iraq,Saudi Arabia,and Qatar,it analyzes such key elements of the force majeure clauses of these contracts as the definition of force majeure and the debtor's notice obligations,clarifies the relevant legal requirements and prevailing commercial practices,examines the application of these clauses in the context of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict,and proposes strategies and practical recommendations for debtors claiming exemption from liability on grounds of force majeure and for creditors responding to such claims in the context of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict based on the clause analysis.All parties should exercise prudence when dealing with claims for exemption from liability on grounds of force majeure and seek to protect their own interests while avoiding damage to long-term cooperative relationships.It also proposes to establish a multi-layered system of contractual provisions incorporating alternative mechanisms in advance to address potential risks.

周润皓;吕菁;范军志

中国石油天然气集团有限公司法律和企改部中国石油天然气集团有限公司法律和企改部中国石油集团共享运营有限公司

管理科学

不可抗力美以伊战事海湾地区油气合同通知义务风险应对策略

force majeureU.S.-Israel-Iran conflictthe Gulf regionoil and gas contractsnotice obligationrisk response strategies

《国际石油经济》 2026 (9)

65-73,9

中国石油天然气集团有限公司软科学研究项目"集团公司涉外业务争端解决机制研究"(编号:中油研20260112-3)

10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.09.006

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