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"双冲突"下欧盟能源安全的困境、根源及应对OACHSSCD

Dilemmas,root causes,and countermeasures of EU energy security amid the"dual conflicts"

中文摘要英文摘要

自美以伊冲突爆发以来,欧盟能源危机持续深化,不仅再度面临能源价格剧烈震荡与供应短缺的双重压力,部分国家的能源过境通道安全亦受到严峻挑战,加之冲突带来的经济影响持续外溢,欧盟正遭遇多维度的综合性能源安全挑战.究其原因,欧盟能源安全结构在俄乌冲突后历经深度调整,对俄能源关系脱钩式重组,但并未改变其高度依赖外部能源的基本格局,欧盟对美国能源和经济的依赖程度进一步加深,欧洲能源转型进程也出现阶段性波动,这些因素使其在中东地缘政治动荡面前更趋于脆弱.面对美以伊冲突引发的新一轮能源安全压力,欧盟进一步转向对能源安全体系的整体调整,在提振绿色能源转型的同时调整核能政策,重塑其在能源体系内的地位,并拓展能源外交,加强外部合作,以此综合应对能源安全挑战.从长期看,欧盟能源安全形势能否根本改善,仍取决于其能否在降低外部化石能源依赖、提升能源体系韧性、保持经济竞争力三者之间实现有效平衡,构建更加自主、低碳和稳定的能源体系.

Since the outbreak of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict,the European Union(EU)has faced mounting energy crisis.The EU has once again come under the dual pressures of sharp energy price volatility and supply shortages,while the security of energy transit routes in some member states has also been seriously challenged.Together with the continuing spillover of the conflict's economic effects,these developments have exposed the EU to multidimensional energy security risks.The underlying causes lie in the profound restructuring of the EU energy security architecture following the Russia-Ukraine conflict.The decoupling and reconfiguration of its energy relationship with Russia have not altered its fundamental dependence on external energy supplies;meanwhile,its dependence on the United States for energy and economic support has deepened,and Europe's energy transition has experienced periodic fluctuations.These factors have made the EU more vulnerable to geopolitical instability in the Middle East.In response to the renewed energy security pressures arising from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict,the EU is further adjusting its overall energy security system by advancing the green energy transition,revising its nuclear energy policy and redefining the role of nuclear power in the energy system,and expanding energy diplomacy and strengthening external cooperation.In the long term,whether the EU can fundamentally improve its energy security will depend on its ability to balance reduced dependence on external fossil fuels,enhance its energy-system resilience,and keep economic competitiveness.Building a more autonomous,low-carbon,and stable energy system remains a central task for EU energy policy.

侯意然;董一凡;梁墨玉

北京语言大学国别和区域研究院北京语言大学国别和区域研究院北京语言大学国别和区域研究院

管理科学

欧盟能源安全美以伊冲突俄乌冲突能源转型

European Unionenergy securityU.S.-Israel-Iran conflictRussia-Ukraine conflictenergy transition

《国际石油经济》 2026 (9)

14-26,13

北京市社会科学基金规划项目"欧盟对外经济政策'泛安全'趋势研究"(项目编号:25BJ03270)阶段性研究成果

10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.09.002

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