膝骨关节炎双疼痛维度变化差异的多层可解释性建模与分析OA
Multilevel interpretable modeling and analysis of changes in dual pain dimensions in knee osteoarthritis
目的:基于真实世界临床数据,通过系统刻画影响疼痛的关键因素、决策路径及结构关系,探讨膝骨关节炎(knee osteoarthritis,KOA)患者在双疼痛维度变化上的特征差异与关联结构.方法:以疼痛视觉模拟评分(visual analogue scale,V AS)与中医疼痛症状评分作为双疼痛维度,在统一特征体系下分别构建XGBoost模型,并结合SHAP方法、规则提取和贝叶斯网络,对187例KOA观察性资料进行多层可解释性分析.结果:模型识别出影响中医疼痛症状评分变化的关键因素为年龄、病程、身体质量指数(body mass index,BMI)及用药时间、关节局部症状,而VAS变化的关键因素为基线VAS及用药情况;决策路径分析显示,中医疼痛症状变化主要路径为"年龄<69岁、BMI≥23.94 kg·m-2且关节肿胀<4分",疼痛VAS变化主要路径为"基线疼痛VAS≥6分且合并使用止痛药";进一步揭示各变量与两类疼痛的结构关系,比如在"年龄<69岁且BMI≥23.94kg·m-2且关节肿胀<4分"条件下,中医疼痛症状评分"变化明显"的条件概率高于疼痛VAS.结论:在同一模型框架下探索相关指标变化差异的解析方法,通过"特征重要性评估-决策规则提取-贝叶斯网络推理"的多层可解释性分析,发现双疼痛维度在反映膝骨关节炎疼痛变化时既存在共性影响因素,也呈现结构关联差异.研究结果可为KOA患者疼痛变化特征识别及疼痛评价工具选择提供参考依据,并为同类分析提供可复制的方法学范式.
Objective Based on real-world clinical data,aimed to systematically characterize the key factors,decision-making pathways,and structural relationships influencing pain,and to investigate the differences and associated structural ef-fects of changes across two pain dimensions in patients with knee osteoarthritis(KOA).Methods Using the visual analog scale(VAS)and Traditional Chinese Medicine(TCM)pain symptom score as bimodal pain dimensions,XGBoost models were con-structed under a unified feature system.Multi-layer interpretability analysis was conducted through SHAP,rule extraction,and Bayesian networks to examine the observational data from 187 cases of KOA.Results The model identified age,disease dura-tion,body mass index(BMI),administration time and local joint symptoms as key factors influencing changes in the TCM pain symptom score,while baseline VAS and medication use were key factors for changes in the VAS.Decision path analysis re-vealed that the primary pathway for changes in TCM pain symptoms was"age<69 years,BMI ≥23.94 kg·m-2,and joint swelling score<4,"while the main pathway for VAS changes was"baseline VAS ≥ 6 and concurrent use of analgesics."Furthermore,the structural relationships between variables and the two pain dimensions were revealed.For example,under the condition of"age<69 years,BMI ≥23.94 kg·m-2,and joint swelling score<4",the conditional probability of a"significant change"in the TCM pain symptom score was higher than that in the VAS.Conclusion Under a unified model framework,an analytical approach for examining differential changes in related indicators was explored.Through multi-layered interpretability analysis encompassing"feature importance assessment-decision rule extraction-Bayesian network inference,"it was found that the dual pain dimen-sions share common influencing factors in reflecting pain changes in knee osteoarthritis,yet also exhibit structural association differences.These findings provide a reference basis for identifying pain change characteristics and selecting pain assessment tools in KO A patients,and offer a replicable methodological paradigm for similar analyses.
韩嘉旭;彭叶辉;杨伟;吴孟洁;向兴华;田雅欣;唐德志
湖南科技大学数学与统计学院,湖南 湘潭 411201||中国中医科学院中医临床基础医学研究所,北京 100700湖南科技大学数学与统计学院,湖南 湘潭 411201中国中医科学院中医临床基础医学研究所,北京 100700中国中医科学院中医临床基础医学研究所,北京 100700中国中医科学院中医临床基础医学研究所,北京 100700中国中医科学院中医临床基础医学研究所,北京 100700上海中医药大学附属龙华医院,上海 200032
医药卫生
机器学习疼痛测量多层可解释性真实世界数据膝骨关节炎
Machine learningPain measurementMulti-layered interpretabilityReal-world dataKnee os-teoarthritis
《中国骨伤》 2026 (8)
825-832,8
中国中医科学院创新工程项目(编号:CI2023C066YLLZB2025014)Innovation Project of the China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences(No.CI2023C066YLLZB2025014)
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