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电力碳责任因子促进新能源高质量消纳OA

Electricity carbon responsibility factor promotes high-quality accommodation of new energy

中文摘要英文摘要

随着高比例风光电大规模接入新型电力系统,传统静态年均电碳因子时空分辨率不足.现有电碳因子仅核算机组实时发电直接碳排放,未能合理分摊火电调峰备用产生的碳排放,难以支撑源荷协同低碳调度.基于机组实时负荷率提出源-荷碳责任分摊方法,构建分时分区电力碳责任因子(Cr)多时空尺度核算模型,建立高频时序和分层分区框架体系,依托区域电网实际运行数据开展算例分析,并搭建高新能源渗透率仿真场景对比系统运行效果.结果表明,Cr具备显著时空异质性,日内波动幅度为电力碳排放因子(C)的 4 倍,可避免凌晨时段误导性削减负荷指令,调度逻辑契合电网实际运行需求;在 70%新能源渗透率仿真场景下,采用 Cr引导需求响应调控,新能源消纳率由 92.2%提升至 99.3%,全年规模化应用可实现 6 亿 t 碳减排,为新型电力系统源-荷协同精细化降碳提供有效的低碳调控信号.

With high-penetration wind-solar integration into the new power system,conventional static annual-average electricity carbon emission factor suffer from insufficient spatiotemporal resolution.Existing factors only account for direct generation-side carbon emissions,leaving the carbon emissions from thermal units'peak-shaving and reserve services unallocated,which hinders refined low-carbon dispatch.This paper proposes a source-load carbon responsibility allocation method based on real-time unit load rates and constructs a multi-spatiotemporal-scale accounting model for the time-of-use and zonal electricity carbon responsibility factor(Cr).Case studies are conducted using actual grid operating data and high-renewable-penetration simulation scenarios.Results show that Cr exhibits significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity,with its intraday fluctuation amplitude four times that of the conventional carbon emission factor C.It avoids misleading load-reduction commands during early-morning hours and conforms to practical grid-operation requirements.Guided by Cr,demand-response regulation lifts the renewable-energy accommodation rate from 92.2%to 99.3%under a 70%renewable-energy-penetration scenario.Nationwide large-scale annual application can achieve an annual carbon emission reduction of 600  million  tons,delivering effective low-carbon regulation signals for refined source-load coordinated decarbonization of new power systems.

张吉;江亿;薛志峰;刘道新;肖伟栋;扈晨

清华大学 建筑技术科学系,北京 100084清华大学 建筑技术科学系,北京 100084清华大学 建筑技术科学系,北京 100084国家电网有限公司,北京 100031国家电网有限公司华北分部,北京 100053国网北京市电力公司,北京 100031

电碳因子碳排放责任责任分摊分时分区源荷互动碳排放核算

electricity carbon factorcarbon emission responsi-bilityresponsibility allocationtime-of-use and zonalsupply-demand interactioncarbon accounting

《中国电力》 2026 (9)

133-145,13

国家重点研发计划资助项目(2024YFC3808003).This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2024YFC3808003).

10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202608055

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