社会互动与农户天气指数保险需求OACHSSCD
Social interaction and coffee farmers'weather index insurance demand:evidence from survey data in Yunnan
基于云南省670份咖啡种植农户的调研数据,采用Tobit模型和工具变量法,实证分析社会互动对农户天气指数保险需求的影响及其作用机制.结果表明,社会互动能够显著提升农户对天气指数保险的支付意愿.该影响主要通过内生互动和情景互动两条路径实现:社会互动通过强化气候风险感知,提升农户的保险认知水平;社会互动通过示范效应和信任传递,提高农户对保险产品的接受度.异质性分析结果显示,社会互动对保险需求的促进作用在传统小型农户、天气关注度较高农户及收入稳定性较低农户中更为显著.据此,建议在推广天气指数保险产品时,充分利用乡村社会固有的社会关系网络,强化基层信息传播与经验交流机制,以提升天气指数保险的推广效果.
Based on survey data from 670 coffee farmers in Yunnan province,this paper uses the Tobit model and the instrumental variable method to empirically analyze the impact and mechanism of social interaction on farmers'demand for weather index insurance.The results show that social interaction increases farmers'willingness to pay for weather index insurance.This effect operates primarily through two channels:endogenous interaction and situational interaction.Social interaction strengthens climate risk perception,thereby improving farmers'insurance literacy.Meanwhile,it enhances farmers'acceptance of insurance products through demonstration effects and trust transfer.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the positive effect of social interaction on insurance demand is more pronounced among traditional small-scale farmers,farmers with high weather-risk attention,and those with lower income stability.Accordingly,it is proposed that when weather-index insurance products are promoted,full use should be made of the inherent social networks in rural communities,and grassroots-level information dissemination and experience-exchange mechanisms should be strengthened to boost the promotion effectiveness of such insurance.
李明蔚;刘新立;姚奕
北京大学 经济学院,北京 100871北京大学 经济学院,北京 100871北京大学 经济学院,北京 100871
管理科学
天气指数保险社会互动支付意愿咖啡种植户
weather index insurancesocial interactionwillingness to paycoffee farmers
《农林经济管理学报》 2026 (4)
469-479,11
国家自然科学基金国际合作项目(72261147759)、美国盖茨基金(2022YFAG1004)和北京大学经济学院中青年教师科研种子基金
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