黄河流域农业新质生产力对农业水资源绿色效率的影响OA
The Impact of New Quality Agricultural Productive Forces on the Green Efficiency of Agricultural Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin
厘清农业新质生产力对农业水资源绿色效率的作用机理,推进黄河流域农业高质量发展.采用熵值法和Super-SBM模型测算2011-2023年黄河流域的农业新质生产力和农业水资源绿色效率,并使用双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型分析农业新质生产力对农业水资源绿色效率的影响.①黄河流域农业新质生产力水平整体呈上升趋势,农业水资源绿色效率均值从2011年的0.206 1增长至2023年的0.676 6,且整体呈现"中游>下游>上游""半湿润区>半干旱区""粮食主产区>产销平衡区"的空间格局;②农业新质生产力对农业水资源绿色效率具有显著促进作用且存在异质性,中上游地区、半湿润地区以及产销平衡区的促进效果更为显著;③农业新质生产力通过农业产业集聚、农业产业结构升级和农业技术进步影响农业水资源绿色效率;④农业新质生产力对农业水资源绿色效率的影响存在经济发展水平的门槛限制.建议利用现代生产要素,助推新质生产力发展;因地制宜,采取差异政策;结合发展阶段,实施阶梯引导.
Clarifying the mechanism through which new quality agricultural productive forces affect the green efficiency of agricultural water resources is essential for promoting high-quality agricultural development in the Yellow River Basin.The entropy method and Super-SBM model are employed to measure the new quality agricultural productive forces and the green efficiency of agricultural water resources in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2023.A two-way fixed-effects model,mediation effect model,and threshold effect model are utilized to examine the influence of new quality agricultural productive forces on the green efficiency of agricultural water resources.① The overall level of new quality agricultural productive forces in the Yellow River Basin is on the rise.The average green efficiency of agricultural water resources increased from 0.2061 in 2011 to 0.6766 in 2023,exhibiting a spatial pattern characterized by"middle reaches>lower reaches>upper reaches,""semi-humid regions>semi-arid regions,"and"major grain-producing areas>production-consumption balanced areas."② New quality agricultural productive forces have a significant positive impact on the green efficiency of agricultural water resources with heterogeneity,with more pronounced effects in the middle and upper reaches,semi-humid areas,and production-consumption balanced areas.③ New quality agricultural productive forces influence the green efficiency of agricultural water resources through agricultural industry agglomeration,upgrading of agricultural industry structure,and technological progress in agriculture.④ The impact of new quality agricultural productive forces on the green efficiency of agricultural water resources has a threshold limit on the level of economic development.It is recommended to utilize modern production factors to promote the development of new quality productive forces;adopt differentiated policies according to local conditions;and implement phased guidance in line with the stage of development.
薛选登;柴艺萌
河南科技大学商学院,河南 洛阳 471023河南科技大学商学院,河南 洛阳 471023
农业科技
农业新质生产力农业水资源绿色效率中介效应门槛效应黄河流域
new quality agricultural productive forcesgreen efficiency of agricultural water resourcesmediation effectthreshold effectThe Yellow River Basin
《节水灌溉》 2026 (9)
31-40,10
国家社会科学基金项目(25BJY201)河南省社会科学规划项目(2024BJJ118)河南省科技厅软科学计划项目(262400410719).
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