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创新激励型税收政策的宏观效应评估OACHSSCD

Evaluation of the Macro Effects of Incentive-Type Tax Policies on Innovation:Evidence from the R&D Expense Deduction Policy

中文摘要英文摘要

研发费用加计扣除政策是我国创新激励型税收政策的典型代表,在一般均衡框架下,构建数理模型,理论推导研发费用加计扣除政策影响经济的作用机制.在可计算一般均衡模型的基础上,设置三种政策模拟方案,模拟分析研发费用加计扣除比例提升对宏观经济的影响效果.研究发现:提高研发费用加计扣除比例能显著促进经济增长,且该政策效应呈边际递增特征.政策显著带动了部门总产出、总进口与总出口的增长,且与研发费用加计扣除比例呈正向增强关系.在政府与居民收支方面,政府与居民收支均经历一定程度的缩减.在企业收入层面,除金融业与教育外,其余行业企业收入普遍增长.

The R&D expense deduction policy is a typical representative of the innovation incentive tax policy in China.Under the framework of general equilibrium,a mathematical model is constructed to theoretically deduce the mechanism by which the policy of R&D expense deduction affects the economy.Based on the construction of a computable general equilibrium model,three policy simulation scenarios are set up to simulate and analyze the impact of increasing the proportion of R&D expense deduction on the macroeconomy.The research findings show that increasing the proportion of deductions can significantly promote economic growth,and the policy effect exhibits a marginal increasing characteristic.The policy significantly drives the growth of total output,total imports,and total exports of various sectors,and there is a positive reinforcing relationship with the proportion of deductions.In terms of government and resident income,both have experienced a certain degree of reduction.At the enterprise income level,except for the financial industry and the education sector,the income of other sectors'enterprises generally increased.

段梦

中国社会科学院 数量经济与技术经济研究所,北京 100732

管理科学

研发费用加计扣除宏观经济研发投入经济增长

R&D expense deductionmacroeconomicsR&D investmenteconomic effect

《经济与管理》 2026 (5)

66-73,8

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(72404276)中国社会科学院青启计划(2024QQJH127)中国社会科学院学科建设"登峰战略"资助计划(DF2023YS29)

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