人工智能的就业效应测度OACHSSCD
The Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence:A Dual Perspective on Scale and Structure
在人工智能迅猛发展和就业形势日益严峻的背景下,依托人工智能实现高质量就业是促进经济社会可持续发展的重要内容.以 2018-2024 年沪深 A 股全行业上市公司数据,构建固定面板模型和空间杜宾模型,系统测度人工智能的就业规模和结构效应.研究发现:从就业规模角度来看,人工智能对劳动力就业总体呈现出创造效应.从就业结构角度来看,可细分为职能、行业和地域结构三个子维度.对于就业职能结构,人工智能对各部门劳动力需求均有所提升.对于就业行业结构,所有行业均提升了技术部门劳动力需求,生产和销售部门的就业创造效应体现在低技术低重复和高技术高重复行业,财务和行政部门则体现在高技术高重复和高技术低重复行业.对于就业地域结构,邻近地区人工智能对本地劳动力就业总体呈现空间虹吸效应,且集中在生产和技术部门.分地区来看,华北地区体现为对技术和财务部门的空间虹吸效应,长江下游地区体现为对技术部门的空间虹吸效应,泛珠三角地区对所有部门均呈现空间虹吸效应.
Against the backdrop of the rapid development of artificial intelligence and increasingly severe employment conditions,achieving high-quality full employment through artificial intelligence is a crucial component of promoting sustainable economic and social development.Using data from all industries of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2018 to 2024,it builds individual time-fixed panel models and spatial Durbin models to systematically measure the employment scale effect and structural effect of AI.Findings reveal that from the employment scale perspective,AI expands the overall employment scale,demonstrating a creation effect on labor employment in aggregate.From the employment structure perspective,for the functional employment structure,artificial intelligence increased labor demand in all departments,but the employment creation effects varied across industries;for the industry employment structure,while labor demand in the skilled departments increased across all industries,the employment creation effects in the production and sales departments were reflected in low-tech,low-repetition industries and high-tech,high-repetition industries;for the geographical employment structure,neighboring AI exhibits a spatial suction effect on local labor employment,primarily concentrated in production and technical departments.Regionally,the North China region primarily exhibited a spatial suction effect on technical and financial departments;the lower Yangtze River region mainly exhibited a spatial suction effect on technical departments;and the Pan-Pearl River Delta region showed a spatial suction effect across all departments.
田洪志;郭杉
西北大学 经济管理学院,陕西 西安 710127西北大学 经济管理学院,陕西 西安 710127
管理科学
人工智能就业规模就业结构职能部门行业差异空间地域
artificial intelligenceemployment scaleemployment structurefunctional departmentsindustry differencesspatial re-gions
《经济与管理》 2026 (5)
17-26,10
国家社科基金后期资助项目(21FJLB011)教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区项目(21XJA910001)
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