基于TimeMixer时序预测的电力系统宽频振荡快速辨识OA
Fast identification of power system wideband oscillations based on TimeMixer time-series prediction
传统电力系统宽频振荡辨识方法基于全实测数据,存在固有延时,难以满足新型电力系统对低延迟实时防控的需求.为此,提出一种融合TimeMixer 时序预测的宽频振荡快速辨识方法.该方法首先通过多尺度分解模块生成适配多频段的多尺度时序序列.然后由过去可分解混合模块(past-decomposable-mixing,PDM)对多尺度特征进行季节-趋势分解与跨尺度双向混合,从而获得综合特征.最后由未来多重预测器混合模块(future-multipredictor-mixing,FMM)独立预测并自适应加权融合,生成高精度短时未来波形.通过将预测波形数据动态补全未来时序数据,构建实测-预测融合序列,该方法即可在数据采集阶段提前启动参数辨识计算,实现数据等待时间与计算时间的有效重叠.电网仿真实验表明,该方法在保证辨识精度的前提下显著缩短端到端延迟,有效提升了宽频振荡在线分析的实时性.
Conventional wideband oscillation identification methods for power systems rely exclusively on measured data,resulting in inherent delays that make them unsuitable for the low-latency,real-time monitoring and control requirements of new power systems.To address this limitation,this paper proposes a fast wideband oscillation identification method integrated with TimeMixer time-series prediction.First,a multi-scale decomposition module is employed to generate multi-scale time-series representations suitable for different frequency bands.The past-decomposable mixing(PDM)module then conducts seasonal-trend decomposition and bidirectional cross-scale feature mixing to obtain comprehensive temporal representations.Finally,the future multi-predictor mixing(FMM)module executes independent per-scale prediction and adaptive weighted fusion to produce high-precision short-term future waveforms.By dynamically extending measured data with predicted waveforms,a hybrid measured-predicted time series is constructed,enabling parameter identification to be initiated during the data acquisition process.Consequently,the waiting time for data collection overlaps with the computation time for parameter estimation,significantly reducing the overall identification latency.Simulation results on a power system test network demonstrate that the proposed method substantially reduces the end-to-end latency without sacrificing identification accuracy,thereby significantly improving the real-time capability of online wideband oscillation analysis.
赵妍;范彬雪;李亚波;刘闯
东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林 吉林 132012东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林 吉林 132012国网浙江省电力有限公司杭州市富阳区供电公司,浙江 杭州 310000东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林 吉林 132012
电力系统宽频振荡TimeMixer时序预测实时辨识
power systemwide-frequency oscillationTimeMixertime-series predictionreal-time identification
《电力系统保护与控制》 2026 (17)
97-109,13
This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U24B2084). 国家自然科学基金项目资助(U24B2084)吉林省教育厅科学技术研究项目资助(JJKH20240144KJ)
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