人工智能技术驱动城市新质生产力发展的影响研究OACHSSCD
Research on the Impact of Artificial Intelligence Technology on the Development of Urban New Quality Productive Forces
通过人工智能技术重塑技术创新系统进而赋能城市新质生产力发展,是"十五五"时期深入实施国家"人工智能+"行动、赋能经济高质量发展的重要课题.本文选取 2010~2024 年我国 279 个地级市面板数据作为研究样本,实证检验人工智能技术对城市新质生产力的驱动效应及其作用机制.研究发现:(1)人工智能技术能够显著促进城市新质生产力发展;该促进效应表现出"东西高、中部弱"和"南高北低"的区域异质性,以及智能产业化阶段高于产业智能化阶段的动态异质性;(2)技术创新系统表现出典型的中介传导机制,具体分解为研发资源支撑路径和资源纠偏路径两条,且为链式中介关系.此外,人工智能技术对新质生产力的促进作用表现出明显的双门槛特点;(3)经济后果分析表明,该驱动效应对产业结构高级化具有正向促进作用,对绿色发展具有负面影响.因此,注重技术创新系统在人工智能技术和城市新质生产力之间的传导机制,加强区域差异化和中长期政策的引导,应成为推动城市新质生产力发展的重要方向.
By reshaping the technological innovation system,artificial intelligence technology empowers the development of urban new quality productive forces and has become an important issue for deeply implementing the national"AI+"initiative and promoting high-quality economic development during the 15th Five-Year Plan period.This paper uses panel data of 279 prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2024 as a sample to empirically examine the effects of artificial intelligence technology on urban new quality productivity and its underlying mechanisms.Results are as follows:first,artificial intelligence technology significantly promotes the development of urban new quality productive forces.This promoting effect exhibits regional heterogeneity characterized by"stronger in the eastern and western regions but weaker in the central region"and"stronger in the south than in the north",as well as dynamic heterogeneity,with the effect being stronger at the stage of artificial intelligence industrialization than at the stage of industrial intelligence.Second,the technological innovation system serves as a mediating mechanism,which can be specifically de-composed into two paths:the resource support path and the resource misallocation correction path,and the two paths form a chain-mediating relationship.Moreover,the promoting effect of artificial intelligence technology on urban new quality productive forces ex-hibits obvious double-threshold characteristics.Third,the analysis of economic consequences shows that this driving effect positive-ly promotes the upgrading of industrial structure but has a negative impact on green development.Therefore,focusing on the trans-mission mechanism of the technological innovation system between artificial intelligence technology and urban new quality productive forces,and strengthening the guidance of regional policies and medium-and long-term policies,should be key directions for pro-moting the development of urban new quality productive forces.
赵巧芝;王缘
华北电力大学经济管理系,保定 071003华北电力大学经济管理系,保定 071003
管理科学
"人工智能+"行动城市新质生产力技术创新系统赋能机制门槛效应资源纠偏绿色发展链式中介
"AI+"initiativeurban new quality productive forcestechnological innovation systemempowerment mech-anismthreshold effectresource misallocation correctiongreen developmentserial mediation
《工业技术经济》 2026 (10)
63-74,12
河北省社会科学发展研究重点课题"数字化赋能河北先进制造业产业集群发展研究"(项目编号:HBSKFZ25ZD038)河北省研究生示范课程项目"风险管理理论及方法"(项目编号:KCJSX2025098).
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