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国际议程设置博弈:AI视频生成模型冲击国家认知域安全的机制OACHSSCD

International Agenda-Setting Competition:How AI Video Generation Models Shape National Cognitive Security

中文摘要英文摘要

AI视频生成模型催生沉浸式认知域国际竞争,将传统的图文信息博弈升级为"时空模拟"级的全维度对抗,进而冲击国家认知域安全.基于"技术特征—议程设置—认知域安全"的分析框架,冲击的作用机制是视频生成模型的复杂性、连贯性和可控性介入国际议程设置,显著影响共识知识和传播渠道,但对制度载体、外交规范的直接影响较弱.这使数字基建优势国在属性议程和网络议程中的话语权增强,而劣势国在客体议程中的话语权增强.话语权格局重塑导致主权国家间议程设置博弈的烈度增强,其情景包括:短期的客体议程博弈,通过深度伪造信息冲击认知抵抗力;中期的属性议程博弈,通过隐蔽价值投送冲击认知稳定性;长期的网络议程博弈,通过构建信息茧房冲击认知自主性.随着博弈的升级与持续,由于话语权的均衡化与失衡化并存,主权国家在客体议程中均面临较强脆弱性风险,但在属性和网络议程中,劣势国面临更强的动荡性和系统性风险.未来,主权国家对认知域风险的治理需以数字素养增强认知抵抗力、以数字主权筑牢认知稳定性和以数字外交维护认知自主性.

AI video generation models are reshaping international competition in the cognitive domain and creating new challenges for national cognitive security.Drawing on an analytical framework that links technological characteristics,agenda-setting,and cognitive security,this study explains how the complexity,coherence,and controllability of AI video generation models influence international agenda-setting through distinct entry points and transmission pathways.These technological characteristics strengthen the agenda-setting capacity of countries with advanced digital infrastructures in attribute and network agendas,while expanding the influence of digitally disadvantaged countries in the object agenda.The resulting redistribution of discursive power intensifies agenda-setting competition among sovereign states.Specifically,deepfake-enabled object agenda competition undermines cognitive resilience in the short term;covert value projection within attribute agendas erodes cognitive stability over the medium term;and network agenda competition reinforces information cocoons that weaken cognitive autonomy in the long term.As these dynamics become more persistent,the coexistence of discursive power equalization and structural asymmetry generates differentiated security risks.While all sovereign states face heightened vulnerability in object agendas,digitally disadvantaged countries are more exposed to volatility and systemic risks in attribute and network agendas.To address these challenges,states should strengthen cognitive resilience through digital literacy,reinforce cognitive stability through digital sovereignty,and safeguard cognitive autonomy through digital diplomacy.

柏瑞山;黄日涵

中共中央党校(国家行政学院)国际战略研究院(北京 邮编:100091)华侨大学国际关系学院||华侨大学数字经济智库(福建厦门 邮编:361021)

社会科学

AI视频生成模型模型技术特征国际议程设置博弈国家认知域安全

AI video generation modelsmodel technological characteristicsinternational agenda-setting competitionnational cognitive security

《国际论坛》 2026 (5)

3-21,19

本文系2021年国家社会科学基金"基于'一带一路'理念传播视角下的新媒体时代增强中国国际话语权研究"(项目批准号:21AGJ007)的阶段性成果.

10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2026.05.001

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