低碳城市试点政策对城市节能减排绩效的影响机制与组态路径研究OACHSSCD
Mechanisms through which low-carbon city pilot policy impacting the urban energy conservation and emission reduction performance and its configurational pathways
低碳城市试点政策是中国推进"双碳"目标与城市绿色低碳转型的关键抓手.在美丽中国建设背景下,以中国244个城市的面板数据作为研究样本,采用回归分析与组态分析相结合的混合研究方法,探究低碳城市试点政策对城市节能减排绩效的影响机制与组态路径.研究发现:1)低碳城市试点政策显著提升了城市节能减排绩效,且在经济欠发达、人口规模较小及城镇化水平较低的城市中更加突出.2)中介效应表明,试点政策可以催生绿色技术、绿色投资等城市绿色创新行为进而提升节能减排绩效.3)调节效应显示,高强度的政府环境注意力能够正向强化政策的促进效应.4)组态分析发现,实现高水平节能减排绩效存在三条具有阶段性特征与区域异质性的前因组态,分别是政策-技术双轮驱动路径、政策-注意力统筹驱动路径、技术-资本协同驱动路径.文中研究不仅探索了低碳城市试点政策影响城市节能减排绩效的作用机理,也为实现城市节能减排目标进而统筹推进"双碳"目标提供了精细化的路径指导.
The low-carbon city pilot policy serves as a critical instrument for China to advance its"dual carbon"goals and promote urban green and low-carbon transition.Against the backdrop of the Beautiful China initiative,this study uses panel data from 244 Chinese cities as a research sample and employs a mixed-method approach combining regression analysis and configurational analysis to investigate the mechanisms through which the low-carbon pilot policy impacting urban energy conservation and emission reduction performance and its configurational pathways.The findings reveal that:1)The low-carbon pilot policy significantly improves urban energy conservation and emission reduction performance,with stronger effects observed in cities characterized by less developed economies,smaller population sizes,and lower levels of urbanization.2)The mediation analysis indicates that the pilot policy can stimulate urban green innovation behaviors,such as green technology and green investment,thereby enhancing energy conservation and emission reduction performance.3)The moderation analysis shows that high-intensity government environmental attention can positively reinforce the promoting effect of the policy.4)The configurational analysis reveals that there are three antecedent configurations for achieving high-level energy conservation and emission reduction performance,which exhibit stage-specific characteristics and regional heterogeneity:the policy-technology dual-driven pathway,the policy-attention coordination-driven pathway,and the technology-capital synergy-driven pathway.This study not only explores the underlying mechanisms through which the low-carbon pilot policy affects urban energy conservation and emission reduction performance,but also provides refined pathway guidance for achieving urban energy conservation and emission reduction targets and systematically advancing the"dual carbon"goals.
郑烨;何晴科;王艺伟;黄清子
西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,西安 710072||西北工业大学碳达峰碳中和技术政策研究中心,西安 710072西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,西安 710072西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,西安 710072西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,西安 710072
管理科学
低碳城市试点节能减排绩效绿色创新行为政府环境注意力
low-carbon city pilot policyenergy conservation and emission reduction performancegreen innovation behaviorgovernment environmental attention
《干旱区资源与环境》 2026 (9)
1-12,12
国家自然科学基金青年项目(7200418272304226)陕西省软科学研究计划项目(2024ZC-YBXM-188)榆林市科技计划项目-产学研合作研究项目(CXY-2022-164)资助.
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