基于生态足迹法及PSR模型的佛山市水资源可持续利用分析OA
Analysis of Sustainable Utilization of Water Resources in Foshan City Based on Ecological Footprint Method and PSR Model
选取粤港澳大湾区主要城市佛山市作为研究对象,以2014-2023年作为研究周期,采用水资源生态足迹模型,对佛山市水资源生态足迹及相关核心指标展开时序演化分析;同时,以PSR(压力—状态—响应)模型为理论框架,结合佛山市水资源利用实际与区域发展特征,构建针对性的水资源可持续利用评价指标体系,为后续系统评估区域水资源可持续性奠定基础;探究佛山市水资源生态足迹时序变化规律及可持续利用,为粤港澳大湾区城市群或其他地区城市的水资源可持续利用提供决策参考.研究结果显示:佛山市人均水资源生态足迹呈现下降趋势,人均水资源生态承载力波动上升,仅2014、2017、2021年出现生态赤字,主要由于年降水量减少所致,体现生态盈余抗风险能力偏低;各用水账户生态足迹均呈下降趋势,其中生产用水占比最高约75%,但下降幅度仅8%,生态用水10 a间下降70%,需进一步推动工业转型与生态环境建设;万元GDP水资源生态足迹随GDP增长反而显著下降45.9%,反映水资源利用效率逐步提升.PSR模型分析显示,压力、状态、响应及综合指数整体波动上升,响应指数增长显著,但状态指数受水文条件影响波动明显.综上,佛山水资源可持续利用综合能力不断增强,但需关注生态盈余波动、强化工业节水及水资源风险应对能力,进一步提高佛山市水资源可持续利用水平.
Taking Foshan,a major city in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,as the research object and the period from 2014 to 2023 as the research period,this paper uses the water resources ecological footprint model to conduct a time-series analysis of relevant indicators such as ecological footprint in Foshan,and constructs a water resources sustainable utilization evaluation index system for Foshan based on the PSR(Pressure-State-Response)model framework.It explores the temporal variation law and sustainable utilization of Foshan's water resources ecological footprint,so as to provide decision-making reference for the sustainable utilization of water resources in urban agglomerations in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area or other regions.The research results show that the per capita water resources ecological footprint of Foshan shows a downward trend,while the per capita water resources ecological carrying capacity fluctuates and rises.Ecological deficits only occurred in 2014,2017,and 2021,mainly due to the reduction of annual precipitation,reflecting the low risk resistance of ecological surplus.The ecological footprint of each water use account shows a downward trend.Among them,the proportion of production water is the highest,about 75%,but the decline rate is only 8%,and the ecological water use has decreased by 70%in ten years.It is necessary to further promote industrial transformation and ecological environment construction.The ecological footprint of water resources per 10,000 yuan of GDP has decreased significantly by 45.9%despite the growth of GDP,reflecting the gradual improvement of water resources utilization efficiency.The PSR model analysis shows that the pressure,state,response and comprehensive indexes generally fluctuate and rise,with the response index growing significantly,but the state index fluctuates significantly due to hydrological conditions.In conclusion,Foshan's comprehensive capacity for sustainable water resources utilization is constantly increasing,but attention should be paid to the fluctuation of ecological surplus,the strengthening of industrial water conservation and water resources risk response capacity,so as to further improve the level of sustainable water resources utilization in Foshan.
苏智民;张立新;马聪聪
青岛理工大学 管理工程学院,山东 青岛 266000青岛理工大学 管理工程学院,山东 青岛 266000青岛理工大学 管理工程学院,山东 青岛 266000
建筑与水利
PSR模型水资源生态足迹水资源可持续利用佛山市
PSR modelecological footprint of water resourcessustainable utilization of water resourcesFoshan city
《广东水利水电》 2026 (9)
38-45,8
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