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广东省洪涝及次生地质灾害时空演变特征与驱动因素分析OA

Spatiotemporal Patterns and Drivers of Floods and Secondary Geological Disasters in Guangdong Province,China

中文摘要英文摘要

广东省地处华南沿海,特殊的地理位置和季风气候导致洪涝及次生地质灾害频发.研究基于1950-2023年灾情资料,系统分析了广东省洪涝及次生地质灾害的时空演变规律与驱动机制.结果表明,① 灾害损失在时间演变上呈显著分异,受灾人口呈下降趋势,直接经济损失则在波动中上升;② 空间上,灾害分布呈明显地域性,江河洪水与城市内涝高发区集中于西江、北江、东江下游及珠江三角洲;③ 地质灾害高度集聚于粤北山区的花岗岩与红层软岩地质区,粤西沿海地区因频繁遭受台风引发的风、雨、洪、潮复合灾害,灾情损失最为严重;④ 极端降雨是年度灾害损失量级的直接驱动因素;⑤ 区域社会经济发展和防灾减灾能力提升的共同作用,是导致直接经济损失与受灾人口趋势分异的原因.

Guangdong Province is located on the coastal area of South China.Its special geographical location and monsoon climate lead to frequent floods and secondary geological disasters.Based on statistical data from 1950 to 2023,this study analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of floods and secondary geological disasters in Guangdong Province.The results reveal a divergent trend:direct economic losses from floods show a rising trend,while the affected population shows a declining trend.Spatially,high-incidence flood areas are concentrated in the downstream basins of the Xijiang,Beijiang,and Dongjiang Rivers and the Pearl River Delta.Geological disasters are highly clustered in the mountainous areas of northern Guangdong,while the coastal areas of western Guangdong suffer the most severe losses due to frequent compound typhoon-related disasters.Extreme rainfall is the direct driver of annual disaster severity.The divergent trends in economic losses and affected population are driven by the interplay between socioeconomic development and enhanced disaster mitigation capabilities.

邓智瑞;陈文静

广东省水利水电科学研究院,广州 510635||广东省水动力学应用研究重点实验室,广州 510635广东省水利水电科学研究院,广州 510635||广东省水动力学应用研究重点实验室,广州 510635

资源环境

洪涝灾害地质灾害时空演变灾害风险广东省

flood disastergeological disasterspatiotemporal evolutiondisaster riskGuangdong Province

《广东水利水电》 2026 (9)

15-20,6

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