不完全信息下考虑锚定-棘轮效应的综合需求响应优化建模OA

Integrated demand response(IDR)serves as an effective means to achieve the supply-demand balance in the context of the new power system.To improve the accuracy of user response models for IDR and enable integrated energy system providers(IESPs)to formulate more economical and efficient incentive strategies,this paper incorporates the influences of users'anchoring effect and ratchet effect on their response behaviors.First,an anchoring effect matrix is established to effectively model the user anchoring effect.Then,ratchet coefficients are introduced into the conventional user response model to characterize the ratchet effect.Meanwhile,an IESP optimization model considering incomplete information is constructed.Based on the maximum likelihood theory and the Newton iteration principle,the proposed model addresses the incomplete information problem caused by the unobservability of user ratchet coefficients.The proposed model is established as a bi-level optimization problem with users and IESPs as the two decision-making subjects,which is further transformed into a single-level optimization problem for solution.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model can improve the benefits of users participating in IDR,cut down the operational cost of IESPs,and mitigate the power imbalance risk of the power grid.It can not only effectively characterize users'anchoring and ratchet effects but also efficiently handle the incomplete information on the user side.