大语言模型赋能的气象Agent构建及其在短期负荷预测中的应用OA
LLM-Empowered Meteorological Agent Construction and Its Application in Short-Term Power Load Forecasting
[目的]多元气象要素作为短期电力负荷预测的核心驱动因素,其精细化数据的获取和应用仍面临显著约束.基于此,本文对大语言模型(large language model,LLM)赋能的气象Agent进行研究,并将其应用于短期负荷预测中.[方法]首先,通过大语言模型开发平台构建融合LLM的工作流智能体,实现了结构化天气信息动态获取和解析,增强了预测模型的实时响应能力,降低了短期负荷预测系统的开发和使用难度.在此基础上,建立了融合气象要素、电力负荷时序数据、日期特征的电力系统短期负荷预测多模态输入体系,结合时间序列特性与梯度提升树算法构建电力系统短期负荷预测模型.最后,通过实验验证与案例分析验证模型和算法的可行性和有效性.[结果]所提模型和算法简化了气象信息获取流程,提高了预测精度.[结论]研究成果为电力系统中低成本获取和使用气象信息提供了新的研究思路.
[Objective]As the core driving factors for short-term power load forecasting,multivariate meteorological elements still confront prominent constraints in the acquisition and practical application of refined meteorological data.Accordingly,this paper investigates meteorological Agents empowered by large language models(LLMs)and applies them to short-term load forecasting.[Methods]First,a workflow agent integrated with large language models is constructed via the LLM development platform,which realizes the dynamic acquisition and intelligent parsing of structured meteorological information.This approach effectively improves the real-time response performance of the forecasting model and reduces the development and application complexity of short-term load forecasting systems.On this basis,a multimodal input framework for power system short-term load forecasting is established by integrating meteorological factors,power load time-series data,and calendar features.Combined with the inherent characteristics of time series and the gradient boosting tree algorithm,an optimized short-term power load forecasting model is further developed.Finally,the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm are verified through experimental validation and case analysis.[Results]The proposed model and algorithm streamline the meteorological information-acquisition process and improve the forecasting accuracy.[Conclusions]This research provides a novel technical idea for the low-cost acquisition and efficient utilization of meteorological data in power system operation and analysis.
蔡子龙;林红娅;沈赋;毛肖;王健;杨宇林
昆明理工大学电力工程学院,昆明市 650500昆明理工大学电力工程学院,昆明市 650500昆明理工大学电力工程学院,昆明市 650500昆明理工大学城市学院,昆明市 650500昆明理工大学电力工程学院,昆明市 650500昆明理工大学电力工程学院,昆明市 650500
信息技术与安全科学
大语言模型(LLM)短期负荷预测气象Agent工作流
large language model(LLM)short-term power load forecastingmeteorological agentworkflow
《电力建设》 2026 (9)
1-14,14
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62563016),Yunnan Applied Basic Research Project(No.202601AS070059,No.202501AT070350),Yunnan Xingdian Talent Support Program(No.KKRD202204021)and High-level Platform Construction Project of Kunming University of Science and Technology(No.KKZ7202004004). 国家自然科学基金项目(62563016)云南省应用基础研究计划项目(202601AS070059,202501AT070350)云南省兴滇英才支持计划项目(KKRD202204021)昆明理工大学高层次人才平台建设项目(KKZ7202004004)
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