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3种主要红树植物在福建的潜在适生区预测OA

Prediction of Potential Suitable Habitats for Three Major Mangrove Species in Fujian Province

中文摘要英文摘要

利用蜡烛果(Aegiceras corniculatum)、海榄雌(Avicennia marina)、秋茄(Kandelia obovata)3 种红树植物的野外实际分布点位数据和27 项气候、土壤、地形环境变量,借助R 语言ENMeval 程序包优化的MaxEnt 最大熵模型,预测福建省 3 种本土红树植物的潜在适生空间.结果表明:3 种红树植物模型输出的 AUC 值均大于 0.9,表明模型模拟结果可信度较高.物种环境响应规律存在共性:气候因子为第一主导因子,最冷季度降水量、最湿季度平均气温贡献度最高;立地因子为次要主导因子,土壤类型、沉积物全氮质量分数对分布限制作用显著.空间分布上,蜡烛果高适生区面积 214.25 km2,主要分布于泉州湾以南;海榄雌高适生区面积 175.00 km2,主要分布于湄洲湾以南;秋茄生态适应性最强,高适生区面积 305.00 km2,分布于福建沿海各个海湾河口,北至福鼎沙埕港、南至诏安湾.受物种适生区空间重叠影响,剔除重叠区域后,福建省红树林潜在恢复区面积为 374.56 km2.研究结果可以为福建省红树林植被恢复树种选择提供理论依据.

Based on field occurrence point data of three mangrove species,namely Aegiceras corniculatum,Avicennia marina and Kandelia obovata,together with 27 environmental variables covering climate,soil and topography,the maximum entropy(MaxEnt)model optimized via the ENMeval package in R language was adopted to predict the potential suitable spatial distributions of the three native mangrove species in Fujian Province.The results showed that the AUC values of the models for all three mangrove species exceeded 0.9,indicating high reliability of the simulation outputs.Shared patterns were ob-served in species-environment responses:climatic factors acted as the primary dominant drivers,among which precipitation of the coldest quarter and mean temperature of the wettest quarter exhibited the highest contribution rates,site factors served as secondary dominant drivers,with soil type and total nitrogen mass fraction in sediments imposing remarkable re-strictive effects on species distribution.Spatially,the highly suitable habitat of A.corniculatum covered an area of 214.25 km2,mainly distributed south of Quanzhou Bay.The highly suitable habitat of A.marina spanned 175.00 km2,concen-trated south of Meizhou Bay.K.obovata possessed the strongest ecological adaptability,with its highly suitable habitat reaching 305.00 km2,covering nearly all coastal bays and estuaries of Fujian,ranging from Shacheng Port of Fuding in the north to Zhao'an Bay in the south.After removing overlapping suitable zones of the three species,the potential restoration area for mangroves in Fujian Province reached 374.56 km2.This study provides theoretical references for species selection in mangrove vegetation restoration projects across Fujian Province.

汪荣

福建省林业调查规划院,福州,350003||福建省野生动植物与湿地资源监测中心,福州,350003

农业科技

红树林最大熵模型潜在适生区福建省

MangrovesMaxEnt modelPotential suitable habitatsFujian Province

《东北林业大学学报》 2026 (9)

41-47,59,8

福建省林业科技项目(2025FKJ322022FKJ18).

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