数字经济发展背景下人口老龄化对城乡收入差距的影响研究OA
The impact of population aging on the urban-rural income gap in the context of digital economic development
人口老龄化加剧、数字经济发展背景下,城乡收入差距问题凸显,研究其作用机制对优化政策、推动共同富裕意义重大.基于数字经济水平和公共支出偏向视角,运用双向固定效应模型,将人口老龄化对城乡收入差距的影响机制与效应进行分析.实证研究发现:第一,人口老龄化总体上会扩大城乡收入差距;第二,公共支出偏向具有中介效应,人口老龄化通过影响公共支出偏向进而影响城乡收入差距.第三,数字经济水平具有门槛效应,数字经济水平的提高能够显著抑制人口老龄化对城乡收入差距的扩大效应;第四,地区差异及人力资本水平差异使该影响呈现异质性,该影响在东西部地区及人力资本水平较低时更显著.基于上述研究结论,提出创新调节机制、构建适老产业联盟、推行资产共享模式、探索劳动力跨区域流动机制四方面建议,以有效缓解人口老龄化对城乡收入差距的不利影响,促进城乡均衡发展.
Against the backdrop of an aging population and the development of the digital economy,the issue of the income gap between urban and rural areas has become more prominent.Studying its mechanism of action is of great significance for optimizing policies and promoting common prosperity.Based on the perspective of the level of digital economy and the bias of public expenditure,this paper uses a two-way fixed effects model to analyze how population aging affects the urban-rural income gap.The empirical research finds are as follows.First,population aging generally widens the urban-rural income gap;secondly,public expenditure bias has a mediating effect,and population aging affects the urban-rural income gap by influencing public expenditure bias;thirdly,the level of digital economy has a threshold effect,and the improvement of the level of the digital economy can significantly inhibit the expansion effect of population aging on the urban-rural income gap;fourthly,regional differences and differences in human capital levels make this impact heterogeneous,and this impact is more significant in the eastern and western regions and in areas with lower human capital levels.Based on the above research conclusions,this paper proposes four suggestions:innovating the regulatory mechanism,building industrial alliances,promoting the asset sharing model,and exploring the mechanism for cross-regional labor mobility,in order to effectively alleviate the adverse impact of population aging on the urban-rural income gap and promote balanced urban-rural development.
张军;刘烨
重庆理工大学 经济金融学院,重庆 400054重庆理工大学 经济金融学院,重庆 400054
管理科学
人口老龄化城乡收入差距数字经济公共支出偏向门槛模型
population agingurban-rural income gapdigital economypublic expenditure biasthreshold model
《重庆理工大学学报》 2026 (14)
78-91,14
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