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基于深度学习算法预测燃爆的临界淬熄直径OA

Prediction of critical quenching diameter for deflagration and detonation based on deep learning algorithms

中文摘要英文摘要

聚焦密闭管道可燃气体燃爆火焰淬熄的安全防护需求,基于燃气组分、管道几何、初始条件及多孔介质结构参数构建了九维特征空间,建立了多孔介质临界淬熄直径预测模型.为突破传统经验公式的精度不足问题与应用局限性,通过系统性的超参数优化与模型验证,深入对比并证实了 Transformer 架构在临界淬熄直径预测问题上的显著优越性:其预测性能(平均绝对误差 δMAE=0.068,均方误差 δMSE=0.008,相关系数 R2=0.928)显著超越了广泛应用的卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)模型(δMAE=0.079,δMSE=0.012,R2=0.906),不仅整体误差更低,且对离群点的鲁棒性更强.深 入 分 析 发 现,Transformer 模型的核心优势源于其自注意力机制对淬熄过程中关键临界特征的精准捕获与高效建模能力.在数据归一化敏感性验证中,Transformer 模型展现出优异的鲁棒性,这归功于其层归一化机制所赋予的特征解耦与稳定表示能力.基于上述系统性评估,最终确立 Transformer 模型为预测多孔介质临界淬熄直径的最优模型,可为燃爆安全防控策略的量化制定及管道阻火器安全性能的精细化设计提供强大的、可操作的决策支持工具,具有重要的理论指导意义.

The research addresses the safety imperative of preventing flammable gas explosions in enclosed pipelines by establishing a predictive model for the critical quenching diameter within porous media flame arresters.A novel predictive framework was developed based on a comprehensive nine-dimensional feature space incorporating gas composition parameters(e.g.,hydrogen equivalence ratio),pipeline geometry dimensions(length-to-diameter ratio),initial thermodynamic conditions(pressure),and porous medium structural characteristics(thickness,material thermal conductivity).A systematic investigation was conducted to identify the optimal hyperparameter configurations for both convolutional neural network(CNN)and Transformer architectures.Rigorous validation demonstrated that the Transformer model exhibits statistically significant superiority over the CNN model across all key performance metrics.Specifically,the model achieved a δMAE(mean absolute error,MAE)of 0.068,a δMSE(mean squared error,MSE)of 0.008,and an coefficient of determination R2 of 0.928.The performance notably surpassed the CNN results(δMAE=0.079,δMSE=0.012,R2=0.906).Beyond evaluation indicators,detailed error distribution analysis confirmed the Transformer's enhanced predictive accuracy and reduced susceptibility to outliers.The superior performance is attributed to the Transformer's intrinsic self-attention mechanism,which excels at dynamically identifying and weighting critical interdependencies among the diverse input features governing the complex quenching process.The capability enables more precise capture of the nonlinear phenomena defining the quenching limit.Furthermore,robustness testing involving diverse data normalization schemes revealed that the Transformer model exhibits greater stability.This resilience stems from its inherent layer normalization mechanism,which effectively decouples feature dependencies and mitigates sensitivity to input scaling variations.Consequently,the Transformer architecture is established as the definitive optimal model for this critical safety prediction task.Its significant advantage lies in the minimal data preprocessing required before deployment,a feature that greatly enhances its practical utility.The model provides robust quantitative decision-making support essential for formulating effective gas explosion mitigation strategies and optimizing the safety design parameters of pipeline flame arresters.By accurately predicting the critical quenching diameter across various scenarios,this work delivers a valuable tool for enhancing inherent safety in industries handling combustible gases within confined pipeline systems.

聂仲恒;汪丽;高伟;姜海鹏

大连理工大学化工学院,辽宁省 大连市 116024||北京航天试验技术研究所,北京 100074北京航天试验技术研究所,北京 100074大连理工大学化工学院,辽宁省 大连市 116024大连理工大学化工学院,辽宁省 大连市 116024

数理科学

管道爆炸深度学习临界淬熄直径预测阻火器

pipeline explosiondeep learningcritical quenching diameter predictionflame arrester

《爆炸与冲击》 2026 (9)

22-33,12

国家重点研发计划(2024YFC3082600)国家自然科学基金(52574230)

10.11883/bzycj-2025-0218

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