草原生态产品价值与牧民收入耦合协调度时空演变分析OA
Spatiotemporal Evolution of Coupling Coordination between the Value of Grassland Ecological Products and Herders'Income
草原生态产品价值和牧民收入是牧区可持续发展的两个关键要素,但现有研究大多集中于草原生态产品价值评估或者牧民收入增长的单维分析,对于二者之间动态耦合协调关系、区域异质性驱动机制的探讨不充分.本研究基于2001-2023年内蒙古锡林郭勒盟9个牧业旗县的面板数据,运用当量因子法核算草原生态产品价值,构建草原生态产品价值与牧民收入的综合评价指标体系,运用熵权法和耦合协调度模型,定量分析两系统的时空演变特征及其耦合协调关系.结果显示:两个系统耦合度较高(处于0.85~1.00之间),表明二者彼此依赖程度较强,但耦合协调度偏低(处于0.24~0.66之间),未达成高度协调发展;不同区域存在明显的异质性,其中东乌珠穆沁旗和西乌珠穆沁旗处于基本协调状态,已进入转型发展阶段,其余旗县处于轻度或者重度失调状态.基于该结果延伸分析显示:牧民收入结构比较单一,对畜牧业的依赖程度较高,收入抗风险能力较弱;草原生态产品的市场机制不完善,限制了生态系统服务向经济收入的转化,进而对两系统的协调发展产生影响.进一步提出:拓宽牧民收入来源、完善草原生态产品市场化机制、提高牧民参与生态保护的积极性,并且实施差异化区域政策,以推动草原生态产品价值与牧民收入的协同发展.
The value of grassland ecological products and herders' income are two key elements of sus-tainable development in pastoral areas.Existing studies have mainly focused on either the valuation of grassland ecological products or the growth of herders' income,with insufficient attention to the dynamic coupling coordination relationship between the two systems and the driving mechanisms of regional hetero-geneity.Based on panel data from nine pastoral banner counties in Xilin Gol League,Inner Mongolia,from 2001 to 2023,this study used the equivalent factor method to calculate the value of grassland ecologi-cal products.A comprehensive evaluation index system was constructed for the value of grassland ecologi-cal products and herders' income,and the entropy weight method and coupling coordination degree model were used to quantitatively analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and coupling coordination relationship of the two systems.The results showed that the two systems had a high coupling degree,rang-ing from 0.85 to 1.00,indicating strong interdependence.However,the coupling coordination degree was relatively low,ranging from 0.24 to 0.66,indicating that highly coordinated development had not yet been achieved.Marked regional heterogeneity was observed.East Ujimqin Banner and West Ujimqin Banner were in a basically coordinated state and had entered the stage of transformation and development,whereas the other banners remained in mild or severe imbalance.Extended analysis based on the results showed that herders' income structures were relatively simple,with high dependence on animal husbandry and weak income risk-resistance capacity.In addition,imperfect market mechanisms for grassland ecological products constrained the conversion of ecosystem services into economic income and affected the coordinated develop-ment of the two systems.Therefore,herders' income sources should be broadened,market-oriented mecha-nisms for ecological products should be improved,herders' enthusiasm for participating in ecological conserva-tion should be strengthened,and differentiated regional policies should be implemented to promote coordinated development between the value of grassland ecological products and herders' income.
李武;钱贵霞
内蒙古大学经济管理学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010021||内蒙古商贸职业学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010070内蒙古大学经济管理学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010021
管理科学
草原生态产品价值牧民收入耦合协调度时空演变
Grassland ecological product valueHerders' incomeCoupling coordination degreeSpa-tiotemporal evolution
《中国草地学报》 2026 (8)
112-127,16
内蒙古自治区"草原英才"工程产业创新创业人才团队(20700-242909)内蒙古自治区社会科学基金项目(2026st02)
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