首页|期刊导航|饲料研究|数字新质生产力与饲料产业链现代化发展耦合协调的时空演进与影响因素

数字新质生产力与饲料产业链现代化发展耦合协调的时空演进与影响因素OA

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of coupling coordination between digital new quality productive forces and feed industry chain modernization development

中文摘要英文摘要

文章基于2015-2025年中国30个省份的面板数据,通过构建数字新质生产力与饲料产业链现代化发展的评价指标体系,运用熵权法、耦合协调度模型、三维核密度估计法与二次指派程序(QAP),实证考察了两大系统的耦合协调水平、时空演进特征及影响因素.结果显示,数字新质生产力与饲料产业链现代化发展耦合协调水平总体呈上升趋势,全国层面从轻度失调(0.305)逐步跃迁至勉强协调(0.505),区域分布呈现"东部>中部>西部"的梯度递减格局.三维核密度估计表明,全国及三大区域耦合协调度逐步提高,但绝对差异依然存在,分化趋势较为明显.影响因素方面,营商环境差异、数字基础设施差异、数字金融差异、数字化转型差异均对两大系统耦合协调的空间关联网络形成产生了显著正向促进效应,而饲料生产资料价格变动差异则产生显著抑制作用,且各影响因素的作用强度存在明显区域异质性.研究表明,缩小区域间数字金融发展水平差距、优化营商环境、完善数字基础设施并加快产业数字化转型,是推动数字新质生产力与饲料产业链现代化发展深度耦合协调的有效路径.

Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2015 to 2025,this article constructed an evaluation index system for digital new quality productive forces and feed industry chain modernization development.The entropy weight method,coupling coordination degree model,three-dimensional kernel density estimation,and quadratic assignment procedure(QAP)were employed to empirically examine the coupling coordination level,spatiotemporal evolution characteristics,and influencing factors of the two systems.The results showed that the overall coupling coordination level between digital new quality productive forces and feed industry chain modernization development exhibited a rising trend,transitioning from mild imbalance(0.305)to barely coordination(0.505)at the national level,with a regional distribution pattern of'eastern>central>western'in a gradient-decreasing order.The three-dimensional kernel density estimation revealed that the coupling coordination degree across the nation and the three major regions gradually improved.However,absolute differences still existed,and the polarization trend remained relatively pronounced.In terms of influencing factors,disparities in business environment,digital infrastructure,digital finance,and digital transformation all exerted significant positive promoting effects on the formation of spatial correlation networks in the coupling coordination between the two systems,while disparities in price fluctuations of feed production materials exerted a significant inhibitory effect,and the intensity of these influencing factors exhibited marked regional heterogeneity.The study shows that narrowing regional disparities in digital finance development,optimizing the business environment,improving digital infrastructure,and accelerating industrial digital transformation are effective pathways for promoting in-depth coupling coordination between digital new quality productive forces and feed industry chain modernization development.

陈茜

郑州商学院 河南 郑州 451200

农业科技

饲料产业链现代化数字新质生产力耦合协调度模型二次指派程序

modernization of the feed industry chaindigital new quality productive forcescoupling coordination degree modelquadratic assignment procedure

《饲料研究》 2026 (14)

189-194,6

河南省软科学研究计划项目(项目编号:182400410141)

10.13557/j.cnki.issn1002-2813.2026.14.031

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