基于DPSIR-SBM模型的中国农业高质量发展效率时空分异与驱动因素研究OACHSSCD
SPATIOTEMPORAL DIFFERENTIATION AND DRIVING FACTORS OF HIGH-QUALITY AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT EFFICIENCY IN CHINA BASED ON THE DPSIR-SBM MODEL
[目的]科学评估资源环境和社会经济间的动态关系并建立宏观尺度的可持续发展评价模型,有助于实现资源环境可持续利用与经济高质量发展.[方法]文章基于2012-2022年中国279个地级以上行政单元面板数据,借助DPSIR模型构建农业高质量发展效率综合评价指标体系,并运用Super-SBM模型、Kernel核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数及时空地理加权回归模型探究其演进趋势、区域差异及主要驱动因素.[结果](1)中国及四大地区农业高质量发展效率呈现"效率小幅下降、空间分化减弱"的演进趋势.(2)中国农业高质量发展效率的区域差异呈扩张趋势,主要由组间差异所引起.(3)驱动因素分析可知,降水因素、绿色金融水平和经济发展水平表现为正向促进中国农业高质量发展效率提升,土地规模化经营和信息扩散水平表现为负向影响农业高质量发展效率提升,而气温因素、绿色创新水平和人力资本在不同区域对农业高质量发展效率的影响方向不同.[结论]各地区应聚焦区域差异精准施策,推动农业农村均衡发展;针对性破解差异来源,优化农业发展空间布局;发挥影响因素积极作用,完善农业高质量发展支撑体系.
Scientifically evaluating the dynamic relationship between resource environment and social economy,and establishing a macro-scale sustainable development evaluation model,is conducive to realizing the sustainable utilization of resource environment and high-quality economic development.Based on the panel data of 279 prefecture-level and above administrative units in China from 2012 to 2022,this research constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for high-quality agricultural development efficiency with the help of the DPSIR model.Furthermore,it explored the evolution trend,regional differences and main driving factors by using the Super-SBM model,Kernel density estimation,Dagum Gini coefficient and GTWR model.The results showed that:(1)High-quality agricultural development efficiency in China and its four major regions presented an evolution trend of"slight decline in efficiency and weakening spatial differentiation".(2)The regional differences in high-quality agricultural development efficiency in China showed an expanding trend,which was mainly caused by inter-group differences.(3)From the analysis of driving factors,precipitation factors,the level of green finance,and the level of economic development exerted a positive driving effect on high-quality agricultural development efficiency in China.By contrast,large-scale land management and the level of information diffusion had a negative impact on high-quality agricultural development efficiency.Meanwhile,the influence directions of temperature factors,the level of green innovation,and human capital on high-quality agricultural development efficiency varied across different regions.Therefore,all regions should target regional disparities to adopt targeted policy measures,advance the balanced development of agriculture and rural areas,tackle the root causes of such disparities,optimize the spatial distribution of agricultural development,give full play to the positive effects of influencing factors,and refine the support system for high-quality agricultural development.
郝得泉;徐瑞璠;王瑞;刘文新
西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100
管理科学
农业高质量发展效率DPSIR-SBM模型演进趋势区域差异驱动因素
high-quality agricultural development efficiencyDPSIR-SBM modelevolution trendregional dif-ferencesdriving factors
《中国农业资源与区划》 2026 (6)
186-200,15
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目"新型城镇化对粮食绿色生产的影响与政策研究"(25FJYB045)教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"水贫困视角下黄土灌区粮食绿色生产研究:事实特征、尺度效应与政策优化"(24YJC630143)西北农林科技大学经济管理学院研究生自主创新研究项目"西北地区水—粮—碳协同发展驱动因素与优化路径研究"(JGYJSCXXM202501)
评论