农户兼业化对农业保险赔付的影响机制研究OACHSSCD
RESEARCH ON THE IMPACT MECHANISM OF INSURED FARMERS'PART-TIME FARMING ON AGRICULTURAL INSURANCE INDEMNITY PAYOUTS
[目的]农业保险是稳定农户收入的核心政策工具,但其效能可能因农户兼业化进程而受到结构性制约.在兼业化趋势下,农户通过劳动力配置优化分享经济增长红利的同时,其农业生产行为与风险管理模式发生显著转变.该研究并非否定农业保险的保障功能,而是基于农户兼业化这一普遍事实,揭示其通过收入效应与挤出效应对赔付率的作用机制,为优化农业保险政策设计提供依据,助力农业保险在乡村振兴中实现"风险分散"与"农户行为适配"的双重目标.[方法]文章基于山东省626家县域承保机构的1 108户玉米种植农户的调研数据,从非农劳动力占比和非农收入占比两个维度衡量兼业程度,通过挤出效应与收入效应的双重视角,理论分析并实证检验兼业化对农业保险赔付率的影响机制及作用效果.[结果](1)兼业化通过劳动力再分配和收入结构变动显著正向影响农业保险赔付率,其机制在于兼业通过挤出效应挤占农户的农业生产时间与精力,同时通过收入效应降低家庭农业收入占比,削弱农户对农业生产的依赖性,进而减少生产投入.(2)与挤出效应相比,兼业化的收入效应所发挥的影响作用相对更强.(3)异质性分析表明,兼业化对保险赔付的影响,因农户对保险条款的理解程度和保险公司回访的及时性不同而存在显著差异.[结论]基于此,该文从农户和保险公司两个角度提出增强兼业农户保险意识与普及积极健康的道德观念,保险公司加强对兼业农户的风险评估与预测,加大对高兼业农户的查勘力度,增加兼业农户保险费率厘定的调整系数等四个方面降低兼业化对农业保险赔付率不良影响的政策建议.
Agricultural insurance is a core policy tool for stabilizing farmers'income,but its effectiveness may be structurally constrained due to the process of farmers'part-time farming.Under the trend of part-time farming,farmers share the benefits of economic growth through optimizing labor allocation,while their agricultural production behavior and risk management model undergo significant changes.This study does not deny the guarantee function of agricultural insurance,but based on the common fact of farmers'part-time farming,it reveals the mechanism through which it affects the compensation rate through income effect and crowding-out effect,providing a basis for optimizing the design of agricultural insurance policies,and helping agricultural insurance achieve the dual goals of"risk dispersion"and"agricultural production behavior adaptation"in rural revitalization.This research used the survey data of 1 108 corn-growing farmers from 626 county-level insurance agencies in Shandong province to measure the degree of part-time farming from two dimensions:the proportion of non-agricultural labor and the proportion of non-agricultural income.Through the dual perspectives of crowding-out effect and income effect,it conducted theoretical analysis and empirical testing to reveal the impact mechanism and effect of part-time farming on the compensation rate of agricultural insurance.The results showed that:(1)Part-time farming significantly positively affected the compensation rate of agricultural insurance through labor reallocation and changes in income structure.The mechanism lay in that part-time farming through the crowding-out effect occupied farmers'agricultural production time and energy,and through the income effect reduced the proportion of family agricultural income,weakening farmers'dependence on agriculture,and thereby reducing production investment;(2)The income effect of part-time farming was stronger than its crowding-out effect.(3)Heterogeneity analysis showed that the impact of part-time farming on insurance claims was significantly different due to farmers'understanding of insurance terms and the timeliness of the return visit of insurance companies.Against this backdrop,this research puts forward targeted policy recommendations from the perspectives of farmers and insurance companies to mitigate the adverse effects of part-time farming on the agricultural insurance compensation rate.The specific measures include improving the insurance awareness of part-time farmers and promoting sound moral norms in agricultural insurance practices,enhancing insurance companies'risk assessment and forecasting capabilities for part-time farmers,strengthening field investigation and verification for part-time farmers with a high degree of part-time farmeing,and optimizing the premium rating adjustment coefficient for part-time farmers.
苑浩然;陈盛伟;牛浩
山东农业大学经济管理学院,泰安 271018山东农业大学经济管理学院,泰安 271018||山东理工大学经济学院,淄博 255000山东农业大学经济管理学院,泰安 271018
管理科学
农户兼业化农业保险道德风险信息不对称赔付率
part-time farmingagricultural insurancemoral hazardinformation asymmetryloss ratio
《中国农业资源与区划》 2026 (6)
112-125,14
国家社会科学基金重点项目"基于规模、结构、效率'三位一体'的我国农业保险政策优化研究"(23AGL026)国家社会科学基金青年项目"数字赋能农业保险精准理赔的机制、障碍与路径研究"(24CGL076)山东省自然科学基金面上项目"农业保险高质量发展效率的多维测度、影响机理及提升路径研究"(ZR2023MG068)
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