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基于Mann-Kendall法的中国渔业生态环境状况变化趋势分析OA

Trend analysis of fishery ecological environment status in China based on the Mann-Kendall method

中文摘要英文摘要

渔业生态环境是水生生物赖以生存和繁衍的场所,也是渔业可持续发展的基础.为系统评估我国渔业生态环境的长期变化趋势,本研究基于 2000-2024年《中国渔业生态环境状况公报》的连续监测数据,采用 Mann-Kendall法,对我国海洋与内陆重要渔业水域及国家级水产种质资源保护区主要水环境指标的变化趋势进行分析.结果表明:重要海洋渔业水域环境中,无机氮、活性磷酸盐、化学需氧量和石油类等指标优于评价标准的水域数量比例总体呈上升趋势,其中活性磷酸盐与石油类指标改善显著,无机氮为主要超标因子.内陆重要渔业水域水环境质量总体改善,江河重要渔业水域水体中非离子氨、高锰酸盐指数、石油类指标和湖泊水库重要渔业水域、国家级水产种质资源保护区(内陆)水体中石油类指标优于评价标准的水域数量比例显著提高,但部分水域总氮、总磷和高锰酸盐指数超标情况仍相对突出.总体来看,我国渔业生态环境质量呈现向好态势,氮、磷营养盐指标超标仍是主要环境压力,水产种质资源保护区监测覆盖不足,需进一步完善监测体系与评价标准,强化水产种质资源保护区的管理与数智化监测能力建设,以支撑渔业生态环境的精准保护与可持续发展.

The fishery environment is fundamental to the survival and reproduction of aquatic organisms and underpins the sustainable development of fisheries.To systematically assess long-term change trends in China's fishery ecological environment,we applied the Mann-Kendall trend test to analyze major water quality indicators in key marine and inland fishery waters,as well as national aquatic germplasm resources reserves,based on continuous monitoring data from the Report on the state of the Fishery Eco-Environment in China(2000-2024).Results indicate that in major marine fishery areas,the proportion of waters meeting the standards for inorganic nitrogen,active phosphate,chemical oxygen demand(COD),and petroleum hydrocarbons generally showed an upward trend,with significant improvements for active phosphate and petroleum hydrocarbons.Inorganic nitrogen remained the primary exceedance factor.The water quality of key inland fishery waters improved overall.Significant improvements were observed in the proportion of waters up-to-standard for non-ionic ammonia,permanganate index,and petroleum hydrocarbons in river fishery waters,and for petroleum hydrocarbons in lake/reservoir fishery waters and national aquatic germplasm resource reserves(inland).However,exceedances of total nitrogen(TN),total phosphorus(TP),and permanganate index remained prominent in some waters.Overall,the quality of fishery ecological environment in China has shown a positive trend.On the other hand,nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients exceedance remain the primary environmental pressures,and gaps in monitoring coverage still exist in national aquatic germplasm resource reserves.This suggests an urgent need to upgrade monitoring systems,improve evaluation standards,and advance digital-intelligent capacity building at national aquatic germplasm resources reserves to promote precise protection of fishery ecological environment.

黄瑛;马宁;陈欣然;李凯;冯庚菲;刘刚;李应仁;杨文波

中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141||农业农村部渔业生态环境监测中心,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141||农业农村部渔业生态环境监测中心,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141中国水产科学研究院,北京 100141

农业科技

渔业生态环境趋势分析Mann-Kendall法国家级水产种质资源保护区

fishery ecological environmenttrend analysisMann-Kendall methodnational aquatic germplasm resource reserves

《中国水产科学》 2026 (7)

94-107,14

农业农村部财政专项物种品种资源保护费项目(2130135)中国水产科学研究院中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项项目(2023TD12,2025XT0903,2026XT17).

10.12264/JFSC2025-0331

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