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无人集群的涌现智能可靠性研究:技术挑战与未来发展OA

Reliability of Emergent Intelligence in Unmanned Swarms:Technical Challenges and Future Development

中文摘要英文摘要

无人集群涌现智能作为新一代人工智能的核心前沿,通过仿生自组织与局部交互实现高效协同与智能增强,在军事与民用领域展现出巨大潜力,而涌现带来的可靠性新问题仍是制约其使用效能的关键瓶颈.本文以无人集群系统从功能实现向可靠涌现演进的实际需求为导向,在系统分析跨层级耦合特性的基础上,结合复杂动态环境下的多重约束,梳理了在通信、感知和行为等层面涌现出的可靠性问题与技术挑战.基于"信息通信 - 感知交互 - 群体行为"的三层分析框架,系统构建了涌现智能可靠性的研究体系,并进一步从内在机理探索、涌现指标评估、系统可靠性分析层面逐层推进,提出了"理论建模 -机制设计 - 评估验证"的涌现智能的可靠性系统工程新范式,为复杂任务场景下智能无人集群的规模化可靠应用提供系统性理论、技术支撑与工程解决方案参考.

As a core frontier of next-generation artificial intelligence,emergent intelligence in unmanned swarms achieves efficient collaboration and intelligent enhancement through biomimetic self-organization and local interactions,demonstrating significant potentials in both military and civilian domains.However,the reliability issues arising from emergence remain a critical bottleneck limiting its operational effectiveness.Guided by the practical need for unmanned swarm systems to evolve from functional realization to reliable emergence,this study analyzes their cross-layer coupling characteristics.Considering multiple constraints in complex dynamic environments,it outlines the emergent reliability issues and technical challenges across communication,perception,and behavioral layers.Based on a three-layer analytical framework of"information communication - perceptual interaction - swarm behavior",this study constructs a research system for the reliability of emergent intelligence.Furthermore,it progressively advances from exploring intrinsic mechanisms and evaluating emergence metrics to analyzing system reliability,proposing a new paradigm of reliability systems engineering for emergent intelligence,characterized by"theoretical modeling-mechanism design-evaluation and verification".This provides systematic theoretical,technical support and engineering solution references for the large-scale,reliable application of intelligent unmanned swarms in complex mission scenarios.

张悦;任羿;齐雨昕;向瑞丰;万陈酉;杨德真;王自力

可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191可靠性与环境工程技术全国重点实验室,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学可靠性与系统工程学院,北京 100191

通用工业技术

无人集群涌现智能智能集群可靠性系统工程集群任务

unmanned swarmemergent intelligenceintelligent swarmreliability systems engineeringswarm mission

《中国工程科学》 2026 (4)

152-169,18

中国工程院咨询项目"低空经济下的电磁安全研究"(2025-JZ-11)国家自然科学基金项目(72601001,U25B20238) Chinese Academy of Engineering project"Research on Electromagnetic Security in the Context of Low-Altitude Economy"(2025-JZ-11)The National Natural Science Foundation of China Projects(72601001,U25B20238)

10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.12.012

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