基于风险矩阵分析法的规定动物疫病风险评估体系构建OA
Development of a Risk Assessment System for Specified Animal Diseases Based on Risk Matrix Analysis
无规定动物疫病小区(以下简称"无疫小区")是动物疫病区域化管理模式之一,构建规定动物疫病风险评估体系是无疫小区建设与维持的关键.本文借鉴世界动物卫生组织(WOAH)风险分析基本框架,以农业农村部印发的《无规定动物疫病小区管理技术规范》为依据,选用《风险管理风险评估技术》(BSENIEC 31010:2019)中的风险矩阵评估技术,系统构建了适用于无疫小区的风险评估体系,较好地解决了当前实践中普遍存在的评估方法选用混乱、流程不规范、科学性不足等问题.该体系包含风险因素识别、分析评估、不确定性分析等完整流程,明确提出采用风险矩阵法确定风险等级划分参考标准、实施步骤以及风险评估体系实施与应用场景等内容,为无疫小区建设、评估和维持过程中的风险管理提供了一套系统科学方法,也为提高我国无疫小区建设成效与质量提供了技术支持.
A compartment free from specified animal diseases(hereinafter referred to as"disease-free compartment")is recognized as one of the regionalization modes for animal diseases,and its construction and maintenance largely depend on a risk assessment system for specified animal diseases.Here,based on the risk analysis framework proposed by the World Organisation for Animal Health(WOAH),and in accordance with the Specifications for the Management of Specified Animal Disease Free Compartments issued by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs(MARA),a risk assessment system specifically applicable to disease-free compartments was systematically constructed using the risk matrix assessment technique specified in the Risk Management-Risk Assessment Techniques(BS EN IEC 31010:2019),which effectively addressed the common problems in current practice,including the chaotic adoption of assessment methods,non-standardized procedures and insufficient scientificity.A complete workflow covering risk factor identification,risk analysis and evaluation,and uncertainty analysis was built in the system,the details such as the reference standards for risk classification determined by a risk matrix,implementation procedures,as well as the application scenarios for the system,were defined,which not only served as a scientific tool for the risk management during the construction,evaluation and maintenance of disease-free compartments,but also supported the improvement of the effectiveness and quality of disease-free compartment construction in China.
赵合平;王青杰;赵光明;杨文欢;朱宝;薛嘉;任颖超;范钦磊
陕西省动物疫病预防控制中心,陕西西安 710016陕西省动物疫病预防控制中心,陕西西安 710016陕西省动物疫病预防控制中心,陕西西安 710016陕西省动物疫病预防控制中心,陕西西安 710016陕西省动物疫病预防控制中心,陕西西安 710016陕西省动物疫病预防控制中心,陕西西安 710016中国动物卫生与流行病学中心,山东青岛 266032中国动物卫生与流行病学中心,山东青岛 266032
农业科技
风险评估规定动物疫病风险矩阵法风险管理交流
risk assessmentspecified animal diseaserisk matrixrisk management communication
《中国动物检疫》 2026 (7)
52-57,6
国家重点研发计划项目(2025YFD1800105)
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