首页|期刊导航|太平洋学报|特朗普2.0时期军事人工智能政策走向及影响探析

特朗普2.0时期军事人工智能政策走向及影响探析OACHSSCD

Analysis of the Trends and Impacts of Trump 2.0 Administration's Military Artificial Intelligence Policy

中文摘要英文摘要

特朗普 2.0时期的军事人工智能政策理念由拜登时期的"发展—安全平衡"转向"发展优先",政企关系由"政府引导"转为"政府主导下的政企深度耦合",在盟伴合作上从"多边价值观联盟"转为"美国优先型单边胁迫模式".这种政策调整既源于地缘政治竞争的国际体系压力传导,也深受"技术加速主义"与"美国优先"叙事合流、"科工复合体"利益裹挟等美国国内政治因素影响.然而,美国国内政治极化、制造业支撑能力不足以及盟友分歧等因素或将对其军事人工智能政策的未来发展形成制约.尽管如此,特朗普2.0 时期的战略调整将加深国际军事人工智能能力鸿沟,在全球范围内加剧人工智能军备竞赛、恶化全球安全困境,同时促使人工智能的负面影响加速显现,增加技术失控与战略不稳定的风险.

The military artificial intelligence policy during the Trump 2.0 shifted from the"development-safety balance"during the Biden administration to"development priority".The relationship between the government and enterprises changed from"government guidance"to"deep coupling of government and enterprises under government leadership".In terms of alliance cooperation,it shifted from a multilateral values alliance to a unilateral coercion model with an emphasis on the US priority.This policy adjustment was not only influenced by the international system pressure from geopolitical competition,but also deeply affected by various domestic political factors including the convergence of technological acceleration and conservative populism and the entanglement of interests of the"Tech-Industrial Complex".At the same time,factors such as domestic political polarization in the United States,insufficient manufacturing support capacity,and differences among allies may constrain the future prospects of the United States'military artificial intelligence policy.The strategic adjustment during the Trump 2.0 era will widen the gap in international military artificial intelligence capabilities,fuel a global AI arms race,intensify the global security dilemma,and accelerate the manifestation of the negative impacts of artificial intelligence,increasing the risks of technology loss control and strategic instability.

文力浩;龙坤

国防科技大学,长沙 410073国防大学,北京 100091

社会科学

特朗普2.0军事人工智能美国政府大国竞争

Trump 2.0military artificial intelligencethe US governmentmajor country competition

《太平洋学报》 2026 (7)

44-57,14

10.14015/j.cnki.1004-8049.2026.07.004

评论