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新一轮高校扩招的规模与质量问题OACHSSCD

Scale and Quality Issues of the New Round of University Enrollment Expansion

中文摘要英文摘要

根据"十五五"规划纲要,我国将以理工农医类专业为主,有序扩大优质本科教育招生规模.本文将当前的扩招与破除唯学历评价改革,以及未来少子化时代的高等教育发展相结合进行综合分析,指出当前扩招存在满足"学历需求"的问题,或加剧学历贬值、学历高消费.提出要以质量为导向确定扩招规模,并对高等教育"渡峰"与应对少子化时代进行前瞻性规划,推进形成合理的高等教育结构.

In accordance with the outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan,China will expand high-quality undergraduate enrollment in an orderly manner,prioritizing majors in science,engineering,agriculture and medicine.This paper conducts a comprehensive analysis of the current enrollment expansion alongside the reform to break the credential-only evaluation and the development of higher education amid the forthcoming low-fertility era.It identifies that the ongoing expansion,driven largely by the pursuit of academic credentials,may exacerbate credential inflation and overqualification.The study advocates determining enrollment scales with a quality-oriented approach,making forward-looking plans for higher education to navigate demographic peaks and adapt to the low-fertility era,so as to foster a rational higher education structure.

熊丙奇

二十一世纪教育研究院,上海 200030

社会科学

高等教育评价改革质量导向

Higher educationEvaluation reformQuality orientation

《上海教育评估研究》 2026 (4)

38-40,46,4

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