首页|期刊导航|气象科学|一次线状中尺度对流系统冷池作用的分析及地形敏感性试验

一次线状中尺度对流系统冷池作用的分析及地形敏感性试验OA

Effects of the surface cold pool on a linear mesoscale convective system and its terrain sensitivity experiment

中文摘要英文摘要

基于多源观测资料,对2020 年5 月23 日影响淮北地区的一次前导层状降水型线状中尺度对流系统(Mesoscale Convective System,MCS)进行诊断分析,特别关注了地面冷池对对流活动的影响,并利用 WRF 模式模拟了山东省中部山地地形对 MCS 对流活动及冷池特征的影响.结果表明:(1)在此次线状 MCS 事件中,大气背景场显示出较强的动力强迫和适宜的对流条件,导致山东东部和江苏北部地区出现了大范围的雷暴大风和短时强降水.(2)冷池的负变温强度与雷达回波强度之间存在显著对应关系;冷池的移动相对于 MCS 对流最强区域逐渐滞后,两者分离后 MCS的对流活动趋于减弱.(3)在 MCS 的发展和增强阶段,地面冷池增强了前侧低层的对流不稳定性,并促进地面辐合,从而加强了低层上升运动,有利于 MCS 对流的增强和持续;后期,随着冷池前缘上升运动的斜升分量减少,后侧的补偿下沉气流开始抑制原有的 MCS 对流活动.(4)WRF 模式的地形敏感性试验表明,山东中部山地地形对于初始对流的触发起到了积极作用;下山过程中,冷池移动偏慢且前侧近地面辐合偏强导致线状 MCS 对流活动进一步增强,最终导致影响江苏的线状MCS 对流活动及其组织化特征更为显著.本研究为理解冷池和地形对线状 MCS 对流活动的影响提供了新的见解,并为类似过程预报提供了科学依据.

Based on multi-source observations,a leading stratiform-precipitating linear Mesoscale Convective System(MCS)affecting Huaibei area on May 23,2020 was analyzed.Special attention was paid to the influence of the surface cold pool on the convection,which was further simulated by the WRF model,and effects of the mountainous terrain in the central part of Shandong on MCS and the characteristics of the cold pool were considered.Results are as follows:(1)during the linear MCS event,the atmospheric background exhibited strong dynamic forcing and favorable convective conditions,resulting in widespread thunderstorms and short-term heavy precipitation over the eastern Shandong and northern Jiangsu.(2)A significant negative correlation exists between the temperature tendency of the cold pool and the intensity of the radar echo.The cold pool lagged behind the strongest convection of MCS.When they separated,the convection of MCS weakened.(3)During the development and enhancement stage of MCS,the surface cold pool enhanced the convective instability at the low-level near the front,promoting the surface convergence.Thus,the low-level ascending motion was strengthened,facilitating the enhancement and persistence of convection of MCS.In the later stage,as the slanting upward motion at the front edge of the cold pool weakened,the compensatory subsidence airflow on the rear side began to suppress the convection of MCS.(4)The terrain sensitivity experiment has revealed that the mountainous terrain in the central part of Shandong has played a positive role in initiating the convection.The cold pool tended to move slowly,and the surface convergence on the front side was relatively strong during the descent process,which further enhanced the linear MCS convection.Therefore,the convection of MCS was well organized during its impact on Jiangsu.This study provides new insights into the understanding of impacts of cold pool and terrain on the convection of linear MCS,and offers a scientific basis for the forecast of similar processes.

安礼政;刘梅;谢真珍;郭伟震;杨梦兮;汤洁

淮安市气象局,江苏 淮安 223001江苏省气象台,南京 210041淮安市气象局,江苏 淮安 223001淮安市气象局,江苏 淮安 223001泰州市气象局,江苏 泰州 225300淮安市气象局,江苏 淮安 223001

天文与地球科学

线状中尺度对流系统冷池地形敏感性试验

linear MCScold poolterrainsensitivity experiment

《气象科学》 2026 (4)

342-353,12

江苏省气象局面上基金项目(KM202415KM202619)

10.12306/2025jms.0057

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